Emireyts (London, England)
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36 predictions
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AI verdict
AI pick Arsenal
win probability ~64%
confidence High
best odds 1.43
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Arsenal. Full breakdown below.
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✓ Prematch ready
Prematch data
✓Line
✓Form
–H2H
✓Prediction
12.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Finished
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Arsenal - Como
Stadium
Emireyts (London, England)
1
:
1
Finished
Arsenal go head-to-head with Como on August 12, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Arsenal 2-0-3, Como 3-1-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Arsenal, an implied 65% to win. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 64% to win — broadly in line with the market. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Arsenal — 64%
Model estimate: win Arsenal 63.7%, draw 19.9%, win Como 16.4%. Model favourite — Arsenal.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Arsenal (odds1.43)
Score 1:0
Under 3.5
(odds1.75) ✓
Handicap H2 +1.5
(odds1.72)
confidence 50%
✗ outcome missed
- • liniya na pik P1 1.40→1.60 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
- • Model backs Arsenal 🏴: probability 50% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.43)
- • no edge over the line (-20 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:0
- • Total: Under 3.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
- • at line 3.5 (odds 1.75)
- • Handicap F2 +1.5: score forecast 1:0 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.72).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Arsenal - Como August 12, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.
Strongest: Arsenal - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.43 / X 4.70 / 2 6.06
- 1X2 market: Arsenal 64.9% / X 19.7% / Como 15.3%
- Glicko: Arsenal 63.7% / X 19.9% / Como 16.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.3%
19 books · best price +435.2%
1 ✓ Pick
64.6%
X
19.8%
2
15.5%
Odds source: consensus of 19 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
1.40
↑ 1.67
1X2 X
4.60
↓ 4.40
1X2 2
7.00
↓ 4.20
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsLeague table
Arsenal
Como
Best price
across 13 books
1
1.60
Betano
X
4.80
1xBet
2
5.80
Unibet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Arsenal
W-D-L 5-1-4
Scored 1.91
Conceded 1.55
xG 1.98
xGA 1.07
Corners 3.5
Como
W-D-L 6-2-2
Scored 1.86
Conceded 1.66
xG 1.33
xGA 1.63
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Arsenal
Rating 1666
Como
Rating 1771
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Arsenal
64%
7.60
Draw
20%
5.10
Como
16%
15.00
Total
Over 3.25
51%
1.92
Under 3.25
49%
1.98
Both teams to score
Yes
55%
2.40
No
45%
2.28
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Arsenal
1
:
1
Como
11.54
X4.76
26.06
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Stadium
Emireyts (London, England)
Start
12.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Market
1 64.9% @ 1.43 / X 19.8% @ 4.70 / 2 15.3% @ 6.06
Weather
+29°C solnechno Arsenal
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community
Arsenal 75%
📐 Math model
Arsenal 64%
💹 Market
Arsenal 65%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center
Arsenal - Como
Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Arsenal - Komo, 12 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Club Friendlies 2026. Arsenal - Komo, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.
Lineups
10/11
probable starting lineup
Form
5/5
recent games
Market
3
model / bookmakers
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Arsenal
64.6%
63.7%
market and model agree
Draw
19.8%
19.9%
draw risk
Como
15.6%
16.4%
xG
-
2.03 : 1.17
1X2: 19 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
63.7% / 19.9% / 16.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,636 / 1,557
Arsenal / Como
RD
227 / 287
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,181-2,091 / 982-2,132
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.99
market consensus · no value · model 16.4%
X
1.13
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
7.60
Fonbet · weak value +384.0% · model 63.7%
Double chance
12
5.10
Fonbet · weak value +308.3% · model 80.1%
1X
1.02
Fonbet · no value · model 83.6%
X2
1.07
Fonbet · no value · model 36.3%
Handicap
2 -1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
2.06
market consensus · line only
2 0
3.20
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.71
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
5.10
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.11
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.02
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.75
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.41 70.9% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | |
| X | 4.90 20.4% | 4.86 20.6% | 4.75 21.1% | 5.10 19.6% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.60 21.7% |
| 6.50 15.4% | 6.84 14.6% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.20 16.1% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.00 16.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.02 49.5% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.28 43.9% |
| yes | 1.75 57.1% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 1.58 63.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 5.10 19.6% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% |
| x2 | 2.50 40.0% | 2.55 39.2% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.86 53.8% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_1 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 0_2 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 0_3 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 1_0 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 1_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 1_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 1_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 2_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 2_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 3_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 3_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 3_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
Match center
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
13
Kepa Arrisabalaga
5
Pero Inkape
6
Gabriel
49
Maylz Luis-Skelli
89
M. Salmon
10
Eberechi Eze
22
Itan Nvaneri
9
Gabriel Zhezus
11
Gabriel Martinelli
56
Maks Dauman
1
Zhan Byute
2
Mark-Oliver Kempf
3
Aleks Vale
14
Khakobo Ramon
16
Ian Koutu
20
Martin Baturina
23
Maksimo Perrone
30
M. Liberali
33
Lukas Yes Kunya
38
Assane Diao
11
Anastasios Duvikas
Arsenal
Formation 4-3-3
Probable starting lineup
Head coach
Mikel Arteta
Como
Formation 4-2-3-1
Probable starting lineup
Head coach
Sesk Fabregas
Arsenal
No home-team absences found in the prematch data.
Como
No away-team absences found in the prematch data.
Formations
4-3-3 / 4-2-3-1
SStats
Market - Glicko - Form - Table
Match center
Arsenal
Team form
Como
10
Matches
10
17
Goals
19
1.7
Per match
1.9
6
Wins
6
1
Draws
2
3
Losses
2
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-1-0, avg 2.0 gls
2026-08-12 · Arsenal 1:1 Komo
Source: ruscore
Odds · 4 bookmakers
Best price: 1 1.5 (Pari) · X 4.6 (Winline) · 2 6.2 (Winline)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.5 | 4.5 | 5.8 |
| Winline | 1.42 | 4.6 | 6.2 |
| Fonbet | 1.5 | 4.5 | 5.8 |
| Betcity | 1.49 | 4.5 | 5.9 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Arsenal
L
L
W
D
W
Arsenal
Arsenal 2:3 Borussia Dortmund
Arsenal
Arsenal 1:3 Betis
Arsenal
Girona 1:4 Arsenal
Arsenal
PSG 1:1 Arsenal
Arsenal
Crystal Palace 1:2 Arsenal
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.8
Conceded
7
Points
Como
W
D
W
W
W
Famalicao 2:3 Como
Como
Como 2:2 Paris FC
Como
Cremonese 1:4 Como
Como
Como 1:0 Parma
Como
Verona 0:1 Como
Como
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.0
Conceded
13
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Como
Arsenal
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Arsenal
Team 2
Como
Arsenal
Team comparison
Como
2
Games
0
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
5
Scored
0
4
Conceded
0
3
Points
0
0
Attacks
0
0
Dangerous attacks
0
0
Big chances
0
0
Shots on goal
0
0
Udary v stvor
0
Arsenal Komo 2 Games 0 1 Wins 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 5 Scored 0 4 Conceded 0 3 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0.5 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Maylz Lyuis-Skelli Gabriel Martinelli 1:0 33' Martin Baturina Mattiya Liberali 1 43'
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arsenal vs Como?
By the PropickAI model, Arsenal is favoured — about 64% win probability.
What does PropickAI predict for Arsenal vs Como?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Arsenal. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
When does Arsenal vs Como start?
August 12, 2026.