AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Cagliari. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Cagliari - Modena
Cagliari go head-to-head with Modena on July 28, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Cagliari 0-1-0, Modena 1-0-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Cagliari, an implied 52% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Modena 🇮🇹: probability 50% vs 18% on the line (odds 5.50)
- • edge over the line +32 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Cagliari - Modena July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cagliari.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 3.36 / 2 4.51
- 1X2 market: Cagliari 52.4% / X 27.3% / Modena 20.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.
Cagliari - Modena
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.70 58.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | |
| X | 3.35 29.9% | 3.42 29.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 4.75 21.1% | 4.71 21.2% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.45 22.5% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.60 21.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.05 95.2% | 1.74 57.5% |
| yes | 7.30 13.7% | 2.02 49.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% | 4.10 24.4% |
| 1x | 1.17 85.5% | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 2.00 50.0% | 7.20 13.9% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 0_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_2 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 0_3 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 1_0 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_1 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 1_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 3_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 3_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 3_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 3_3 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 4_0 | 26.00 3.9% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.53 | 3.95 | 5.8 |
| Winline | 1.61 | 3.6 | 5 |
| Fonbet | 1.53 | 3.95 | 5.8 |
| Betcity | 1.55 | 4.2 | 5.5 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.62 | 3.6 | 5 |
Cagliari
Full head-to-head historyCagliari - Modena
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Cagliari - Modena breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
When does Cagliari vs Modena start?
July 28, 2026.