AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Racing Ferrol. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Racing Ferrol take on Real Avilés on August 13, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
The market favourite is Racing Ferrol at roughly 44%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 44% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Racing Ferrol — 44%
Model estimate: win Racing Ferrol 43.9%, draw 27.5%, win Real Avilés 28.6%. Model favourite — Racing Ferrol.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Racing Ferrol.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 16 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Racing Ferrol: win 2.17 Racing Ferrol: draw 3.30 Real Avilés win: 3.05 Obschiy Total goals Over 2.5: 1.90 Obschiy Total goals Under 2.5: 1.80 Individualnyy Total goals Racing Ferrol Over 1.5: 2.12 Individualnyy Total goals Racing Ferrol Under 1.5: 1.62 Individualnyy …
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.10 47.6% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | |
| X | 3.30 30.3% | 3.33 30.0% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 2.95 33.9% | 3.40 29.4% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.25 30.8% |
| Outcome | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.96 51.0% | 1.96 51.0% | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.72 58.1% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.68 59.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.52 65.8% |
| 1x | 1.25 80.0% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% |
| x2 | 1.54 64.9% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.35 74.1% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 0_4 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 1_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_1 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_3 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 1_4 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 2_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 2_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_3 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 2_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 3_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 3_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 3_2 | 21.00 4.8% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.07 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| Winline | 2.13 | 3.3 | 3.05 |
| Fonbet | 2.07 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| Betcity | 2.14 | 3.4 | 3 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.16 | 3.35 | 3.05 |
Marino de Luanko 🇪🇸
Full head-to-head historyRacing Ferrol - Real Avilés
The Racing Ferrol - Real Avilés breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
By the PropickAI model, Racing Ferrol is favoured — about 44% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Racing Ferrol. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
August 13, 2026.
