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AI verdict
AI pick Getafe II
win probability ~55%
best odds 1.68
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Getafe II. Full breakdown below.
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28.08.2026 08:00 UTC
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28.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Getafe II vs Torrejón — Football prediction
0
:
2
Finished
T
Torrejón
Getafe B take on Torrejon in football, in Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27, on 28 August 2026. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model makes Getafe B the favourite, with a win probability of about 55%. Sportsbook prices (5 books) put that result at roughly 55%. The model puts the chance of a draw at 25%.
There is little recent-form data for this fixture, so the read leans first on the ratings. On the Glicko scale it is 1708 for Getafe B against 1500 for Torrejon - a gap of 208 points. The game is part of Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. The favourite's edge is moderate, so a protective market (double chance or draw-no-bet) is steadier than a single outright bet. Key markers: an edge of 208 Glicko rating points, the model's 55% for Getafe B. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Getafe II — 55%
Model estimate: win Getafe II 55.0%, draw 24.8%, win Torrejón 20.2%. Model favourite — Getafe II.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 Safe pick
strong
Double chance — Getafe II or draw 1.13
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Getafe II - Torrejón August 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Getafe II.
Line favourite market consensus: Getafe II. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.68 / X 3.80 / 2 4.65
- Glicko: Getafe II 55.0% / X 24.8% / Torrejón 20.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.1%
5 books · best price +1.8%
1
54.9%
X
25.1%
2
20.0%
Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Model O/U (market-implied)
Total 2.50
5 books
Over 2.50
50.0%
Under 2.50
50.0%
Market-implied probability from the frozen pre-kickoff consensus line — reference, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsLeague table
Getafe II
Torrejón
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Getafe II
55%
1.68
Draw
25%
3.80
Torrejón
20%
4.65
Handicap
Getafe II (0)
73%
1.27
Torrejón (0)
27%
3.40
Total
Over 2.5
50%
1.96
Under 2.5
50%
1.90
Both teams to score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.90
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Getafe II
2
:
1
Torrejón
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Start
28.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market
1 55.5% @ 1.68 / X 24.5% @ 3.80 / 2 20.0% @ 4.65
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community
Getafe II 50%
📐 Math model
Getafe II 55%
💹 Market
Getafe II 55%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center
Getafe II - Torrejón
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Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
6
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:2
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 55.0% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.001 / LogLoss 1.600
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 55.0% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.001 / LogLoss 1.600
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Getafe II
54.9%
55.0%
market and model agree
Draw
25.1%
24.8%
draw risk
Torrejón
20.0%
20.2%
1X2: 5 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
55.0% / 24.8% / 20.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,708 / 1,500
Getafe B / Torrejon
RD
292 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,125-2,291 / 800-2,200
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.51
market consensus · no value · model 20.2%
X
3.68
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.63
market consensus · no value · model 55.0%
Double chance
12
1.19
market consensus · no value · model 75.2%
1X
1.13
market consensus · no value · model 79.8%
X2
2.02
market consensus · no value · model 45.0%
Handicap
2 +1
1.61
market consensus · line only
2 0
3.38
market consensus · line only
1 -1
2.17
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.27
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.82
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.85
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.90
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.80
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.89 52.9% |
| yes | 1.77 56.5% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.85 54.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% |
| 1x | 1.11 90.1% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 1.92 52.1% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.04 49.0% | 2.04 49.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.22 45.1% | |
| X | 2.15 46.5% |
| 5.40 18.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.97 50.8% |
| Under 1 | 1.78 56.2% |
Match center
Getafe II
Team form
Torrejón
10
Matches
10
12
Goals
15
1.2
Per match
1.5
3
Wins
5
1
Draws
3
6
Losses
2
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-0-1, avg 2.0 gls
2026-08-28 · Khetafe B 0:2 Torrekhon
Source: ruscore
Odds · 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 1.57 (Winline) · X 3.9 (Pari) · 2 6 (Pari)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.52 | 3.9 | 6 |
| Winline | 1.57 | 3.85 | 5.6 |
| Fonbet | 1.52 | 3.9 | 6 |
| Betcity | 1.5 | 3.9 | 5.7 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.54 | 3.85 | 5.6 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Getafe II
D
W
W
L
L
Union Adarve
2:2
Khetafe B
Khetafe B
1:0
Talavera
Khetafe B
4:0
Rayo Valekano II
RSD Alkala
1:0
Khetafe B
Alkorkon
2:0
Khetafe B
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.4
Conceded
7
Points
Torrejón
L
L
W
W
D
Torrekhon
0:3
Las Rosas
Las Rosas
1:0
Torrekhon
Torrekhon
1:0
Parla
Alkorkon II
0:1
Torrekhon
Torrekhon
3:3
Parakuelos Antamira
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head history: Getafe II - Torrejón
Getafe II
6
matches total
Getafe II: 5 (83.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Torrejón: 1 (16.7%)
Biggest win
Getafe B 3:0 (30.10.22, 05:30)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (4:1, 26.01.22, 13:30)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Getafe B
2:1
Torrejon
Getafe B
3:0
Torrejon
Getafe B
4:1
Torrejon
Getafe B
3:1
Torrejon
Getafe B
1:0
Torrejon
Getafe B
1:4
Torrejon
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Getafe II
Team 2
Torrejón
Matches in history
6
Highest-scoring match
4:1
Tersera Federason
6 / 4 / 0 / 2 / 13 / 8
Unlock the full match prediction
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Getafe II vs Torrejón?
By the PropickAI model, Getafe II is favoured — about 55% win probability.
What does PropickAI predict for Getafe II vs Torrejón?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Getafe II. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
What are the bookmaker odds for Getafe II vs Torrejón?
Live odds for Getafe II vs Torrejón from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
When does Getafe II vs Torrejón start?
August 28, 2026.