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AI verdict

AI pick Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ win probability ~53% confidence Low best odds 1.69

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ. Full breakdown below.

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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
14.08.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction
โœ“ Prematch ready Prematch data โœ“Line โœ“Form โ€“H2H โœ“Prediction
14.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ - Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ

Football
P
Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
0 : 0
Finished
K
Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ

Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ face Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ on August 14, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.

Recent form (W-D-L): Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ 1-0-4, Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ 3-2-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 20% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” 53%

1 ยท Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ19.5%
X ยท draw27.2%
2 ยท Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ53.3%

Model estimate: win Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ 19.5%, draw 27.2%, win Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ 53.3%. Model favourite โ€” Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ (odds1.67) Score 1:2 confidence 53% โœ— outcome missed
  • โ€ข Model backs Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ: probability 53% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.67)
  • โ€ข no edge over the line (-7 pp) โ€” informational only
  • โ€ข Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ - Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ August 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ.

Line favourite market consensus: Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.90 / X 3.63 / 2 1.69
  • Glicko: Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ 19.5% / X 27.2% / Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ 53.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9% 3 books ยท best price +1.2%
1 18.7%
X 27.6%
2 53.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
19%
4.90
Draw
27%
3.63
Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
54%
1.69
Total
Over 2.5
42%
2.25
Under 2.5
58%
1.65

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Participant opinions
7 predictions Choose an outcome
1 100% 7
X 0% 0
2 0% 0
Match center
Start 14.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 19.1% @ 4.90 / X 25.7% @ 3.63 / 2 55.2% @ 1.69
๐ŸฅŠ Humans vs Machines
๐Ÿ‘ฅ Community Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ 100%
๐Ÿ“ Math model Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ 53%
๐Ÿ’น Market Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ 54%
Every pick locked before kickoff ยท public log
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Match center

Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ - Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ 18.7% 19.5%
Draw 27.6% 27.2% draw risk
Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ 53.8% 53.3% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 19.5% / 27.2% / 53.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,724 Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ / Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
RD 350 / 255 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,214-2,234 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.68 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 53.3%
X 3.39 market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.79 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 19.5%
Double chance
12 1.26 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 72.8%
1X 1.97 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 46.7%
X2 1.12 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 80.5%
Handicap
2 -1 2.29 market consensus ยท line only
2 0 1.29 market consensus ยท line only
1 +1 1.55 market consensus ยท line only
1 0 3.30 market consensus ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.21 market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5 1.59 market consensus ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 1.66 market consensus ยท line only
Yes 2.14 market consensus ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.66 60.2%
yes 2.14 46.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5%
1x 1.90 52.6% 2.04 49.0%
x2 1.09 91.7% 1.14 87.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.90 17.0%
X 2.01 49.8%
2.31 43.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.06 48.5%
Under 1 1.71 58.5%
Match center
Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Team form Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
10 Matches 10
10 Goals 6
1.0 Per match 0.6
2 Wins 4
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 2
Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
L L L L W
28.08.21, 13:30
Rasing Portuense 1:2 Rotenya
14.08.21, 12:00
Rasing Portuense 0:1 Kheres Deportivo
09.08.19, 13:30
Trebujena CF 2:0 Rasing Portuense
19.05.13, 04:00
Antoniano 2:0 Rasing Portuense
12.05.13, 08:30
Rasing Portuense 2:1 AD Seuta
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
3 Points
Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
W W D D W
07.08, 12:45
Chiklana 0:1 Kheres
04.08, 12:30
Kheres 2:0 AD Seuta B
17.05, 11:30
Konkense 0:0 Kheres
09.05, 12:00
Kheres 1:1 Konkense
03.05, 05:00
Kheres 1:0 UKAM Mursiya
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.4 Conceded
11 Points

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ vs Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ?

By the PropickAI model, Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ is favoured โ€” about 53% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ vs Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Portuenshe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ vs Kheres ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ start?

August 14, 2026.