AI verdict

AI pick Wolfsburg win probability ~56% confidence Medium best odds 1.64

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Wolfsburg. Full breakdown below.

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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
31.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Wolfsburg - Telstar

Football
W
Wolfsburg
0 : 0
Finished
T
Telstar

Wolfsburg face Telstar on July 31, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.

Recent form (W-D-L): Wolfsburg 2-1-2, Telstar 3-1-1. The bookmaker line makes Wolfsburg the favourite at about 56%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Wolfsburg (odds1.95) Score 2:1 confidence 59% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Volfsburg 🇩🇪: probability 59% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
  • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wolfsburg - Telstar July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Wolfsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.64 / X 3.93 / 2 4.44
  • 1X2 market: Wolfsburg 55.9% / X 23.4% / Telstar 20.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.5% 16 books · best price +6.1%
1 55.9%
X 23.4%
2 20.8%

Odds source: consensus of 16 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Wolfsburg
#5443 ptsGP 21-0-13:3
Telstar
#10460 ptsGP 10-0-11:3
Best price across 13 books
1 1.58 Superbet
X 4.35 Unibet
2 5.40 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Wolfsburg
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 2.34 Conceded 1.95 xG 2.15 xGA 1.46
Telstar
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 2.49 Conceded 1.65 xG 1.71 xGA 1.51

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Wolfsburg
Rating 1761
Telstar
Rating 1678

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Wolfsburg 2 : 1 Telstar
11.55
X4.25
25.34

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Market 1 56.0% @ 1.64 / X 23.4% @ 3.93 / 2 20.7% @ 4.44
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Match center

Wolfsburg - Telstar

Form 5/5 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 56.2% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.950 / LogLoss 1.466
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 56.2% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.950 / LogLoss 1.466
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.45 market consensus · line only
X 3.95 market consensus · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only
X2 7.90 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 3.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 7.40 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.32 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 6.80 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.63 61.4% 1.65 60.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6%
X 4.10 24.4% 4.00 25.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.95 25.3% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6%
4.65 21.5% 4.74 21.1% 3.90 25.6% 4.25 23.5% 4.40 22.7% 4.33 23.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.25 80.0% 2.43 41.2%
yes 3.30 30.3% 1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.15 87.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.01 99.0%
1x 1.13 88.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.06 94.3%
x2 1.98 50.5% 2.14 46.7% 7.90 12.7%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 15.00 6.7%
0_1 13.00 7.7%
0_2 23.00 4.4%
0_3 51.00 2.0%
0_4 126.00 0.8%
1_0 8.00 12.5%
1_1 7.00 14.3%
1_2 12.00 8.3%
1_3 29.00 3.5%
1_4 71.00 1.4%
2_0 8.00 12.5%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 11.00 9.1%
2_3 26.00 3.9%
2_4 67.00 1.5%
3_0 11.00 9.1%
3_1 9.50 10.5%
3_2 15.00 6.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0, avg 4.0 gls
2026-07-31 · Volfsburg 3:1 Telstar
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.73 (Liga Stavok) · X 3.95 (Pari) · 2 4.3 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.7 3.95 4.1
Winline 1.71 3.85 3.95
Fonbet 1.7 3.95 4.1
Betcity 1.65 3.8 4.3
Liga Stavok 1.73 3.85 4
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Wolfsburg
L W W L D
2026-07-24 Club Friendly Games 2026
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 0:2 Lyon
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 3:0 Verl
2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026
Wolfsburg Schoningen 2:8 Wolfsburg
2026-05-25 Bundesliga 25/26, Relegation/Promotion
Wolfsburg Paderborn 2:1 Wolfsburg
2026-05-21 Bundesliga 25/26, Relegation/Promotion
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 0:0 Paderborn
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Telstar
W L W W D
2026-07-17 Club Friendly Games 2026
De Graafschap 3:6 Telstar Telstar
2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026
Sparta Rotterdam 1:0 Telstar Telstar
2026-05-17 Eredivisie 25/26
FC Volendam 1:2 Telstar Telstar
2026-05-10 Eredivisie 25/26
Telstar 3:0 Heracles Almelo Telstar
2026-05-02 Eredivisie 25/26
NEC Nijmegen 1:1 Telstar Telstar
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Wolfsburg - Telstar

Wolfsburg
0 matches total
Telstar
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Wolfsburg vs Telstar start?

July 31, 2026.