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Colombia. Cup. Round of 32. Second leg
Colombia. Cup. Round of 32. Second leg
27.07.2026 22:30 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Finished

Colombia. Cup. Round of 32. Second leg

Atletico Cambe - Ind. Yumbo

Football
A
Atletico Cambe
0 : 10
Finished
I
Ind. Yumbo
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Ind. Yumbo — 49%

Pure model vs market (2 · Ind. Yumbo): model 33% · market 50% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Atletico Cambe23.0%
X · draw27.8%
2 · Ind. Yumbo49.2%

Model estimate: win Atletico Cambe 23.0%, draw 27.8%, win Ind. Yumbo 49.2%. Model favourite — Ind. Yumbo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Atletico Cambe (odds3.70) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Yumbo (football)
  • • Model backs Atletiko: probability 50% vs 27% on the line (odds 3.70)
  • • edge over the line +23 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Cambe - Ind. Yumbo July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ind. Yumbo.

Strongest: Ind. Yumbo - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.24 / X 3.23 / 2 1.82
  • 1X2 market: Atletico Cambe 21.5% / X 28.3% / Ind. Yumbo 50.2%
  • Glicko: Atletico Cambe 23.0% / X 27.8% / Ind. Yumbo 49.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 21.5%
X 28.3%
2 50.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.25 ↑ 17.00
1X2 X 3.50 ↑ 5.10
1X2 2 1.72 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Atletico Cambe 1 : 1 Ind. Yumbo
13.46
X2.86
22.16

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 22:30 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Ind. Yumbo 49%
💹 Market Ind. Yumbo 5021%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Atletico Cambe - Ind. Yumbo

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:10
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table away - 49.2% fact: away hit / ROI 123.0% / Brier 0.388 / LogLoss 0.709
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table away - 49.2% fact: away hit / ROI 123.0% / Brier 0.388 / LogLoss 0.709
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Atletico Cambe 21.6% 23.0%
Draw 28.2% 27.8% draw risk
Ind. Yumbo 50.2% 49.2% market and model agree
1X2: 15 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 23.0% / 27.8% / 49.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Atletico Cambe / Ind. Yumbo
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 49.2%
X 3.19 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.18 market consensus · no value · model 23.0%
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 72.2%
1X 1.61 market consensus · no value · model 50.8%
X2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 77.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.17 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 6.70 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
4.20 23.8% 4.43 22.6% 4.33 23.1% 4.25 23.5% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.23 81.3% 1.76 56.8%
yes 3.60 27.8% 1.96 51.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.34 74.6% 1.37 73.0% 1.02 98.0%
1x 1.59 62.9% 1.63 61.4% 11.50 8.7%
x2 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.05 95.2%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 7.00 14.3%
0_1 5.00 20.0%
0_2 6.50 15.4%
0_3 13.00 7.7%
0_4 29.00 3.5%
0_5 71.00 1.4%
1_0 8.50 11.8%
1_1 5.50 18.2%
1_2 7.00 14.3%
1_3 13.00 7.7%
1_4 31.00 3.2%
1_5 76.00 1.3%
2_0 17.00 5.9%
2_1 12.00 8.3%
2_2 15.00 6.7%
2_3 29.00 3.5%
2_4 56.00 1.8%
2_5 126.00 0.8%