Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Colombia. Serie A
Colombia. Serie A
01.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

Colombia. Serie A

Boca Juniors de Cali - Tigres Bogota

Football
B
Boca Juniors de Cali
0 : 0
Finished
Tigres Bogota
Tigres Bogota

Boca Juniors de Cali face Tigres Bogota on August 1, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.

Recent form (W-D-L): Boca Juniors de Cali 3-1-1, Tigres Bogota 0-1-4. The market favourite is Boca Juniors de Cali at roughly 49%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win — broadly in line with the market. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Boca Juniors de Cali50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Boca Juniors de Cali): model 54% · market 49% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Boca Juniors de Cali49.6%
X · draw26.9%
2 · Tigres Bogota23.5%

Model estimate: win Boca Juniors de Cali 49.6%, draw 26.9%, win Tigres Bogota 23.5%. Model favourite — Boca Juniors de Cali.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Boca Juniors de Cali (odds1.64) Score 2:0 confidence 61% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Boka Khuniors Kali: probability 61% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.64)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Boca Juniors de Cali - Tigres Bogota August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Boca Juniors de Cali.

Strongest: Boca Juniors de Cali - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.84 / X 3.36 / 2 3.89
  • 1X2 market: Boca Juniors de Cali 49.4% / X 27.2% / Tigres Bogota 23.4%
  • Glicko: Boca Juniors de Cali 49.6% / X 26.9% / Tigres Bogota 23.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 49.5%
X 27.1%
2 23.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B
League table
Boca Juniors de Cali
#1216 ptsGP 163-7-616:20
Tigres Bogota
#824 ptsGP 226-6-1019:23
Best price across 12 books
1 1.90 Superbet
X 3.60 Bet365
2 4.04 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Boca Juniors de Cali
W-D-L 2-5-3 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.19 xG 0.87 xGA 1.42
Tigres Bogota
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 0.89 Conceded 1.10 xG 0.98 xGA 1.24

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Boca Juniors de Cali
Rating 1443 xG 1.23 Win 44%
Tigres Bogota
Rating 1455 xG 0.90 Win 27%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Boca Juniors de Cali 1 : 1 Tigres Bogota
11.79
X3.22
24.34

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 01.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 49.5% @ 1.84 / X 27.1% @ 3.36 / 2 23.4% @ 3.89
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Boca Juniors de Cali 50%
💹 Market Boca Juniors de Cali 4942%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Boca Juniors de Cali - Tigres Bogota

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 49.6% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.836 / LogLoss 1.314
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 49.6% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.836 / LogLoss 1.314
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Boca Juniors de Cali 49.3% 49.6% market and model agree
Draw 27.2% 26.9% draw risk
Tigres Bogota 23.5% 23.5%
xG - 1.23 : 0.90
1X2: 14 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.6% / 26.9% / 23.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,302 Boca Juniors de Cali / Tigres Monterrey
RD 350 / 227 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 847-1,757 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 23.5%
X 1.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 6.80 Fonbet · weak value +237.4% · model 49.6%
Double chance
12 3.85 Fonbet · weak value +181.5% · model 73.1%
1X 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 76.5%
X2 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 50.4%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.40 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%
3.85 26.0% 3.96 25.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.02 98.0% 1.72 58.1%
yes 10.50 9.5% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 3.85 26.0%
1x 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.05 95.2%
x2 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.08 92.6%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 8.00 12.5%
0_1 9.00 11.1%
0_2 17.00 5.9%
0_3 46.00 2.2%
0_4 101.00 1.0%
1_0 5.75 17.4%
1_1 5.75 17.4%
1_2 11.00 9.1%
1_3 29.00 3.5%
1_4 76.00 1.3%
2_0 7.00 14.3%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 13.00 7.7%
2_3 34.00 2.9%
2_4 91.00 1.1%
3_0 13.00 7.7%
3_1 12.00 8.3%
3_2 23.00 4.4%
Match center
Boca Juniors de Cali
W W L W D
2026-07-24 Torneo DIMAYOR 2026, Clausura
Boca Juniors de Cali Deportes Quindio 0:1 Boca Juniors de Cali
2026-05-21 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Group A
Boca Juniors de Cali Atletico Bucaramanga 2:3 Boca Juniors de Cali
2026-05-15 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Group A
Boca Juniors de Cali Boca Juniors de Cali 1:5 Deportivo Cali
2026-05-12 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Group A
Boca Juniors de Cali Real Santander 0:3 Boca Juniors de Cali
2026-05-08 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Group A
Boca Juniors de Cali Boca Juniors de Cali 1:1 Alianza FC Valledupar
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points
Tigres Bogota
L L L D L
2026-07-29 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Knockout Stage
Tigres Bogota 0:2 Atletico Nacional Tigres Bogota
2026-07-24 Torneo DIMAYOR 2026, Clausura
Tigres Bogota 0:1 Leones Tigres Bogota
2026-07-21 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Knockout Stage
Atletico Nacional 2:0 Tigres Bogota Tigres Bogota
2026-05-19 Torneo DIMAYOR 2026, Apertura, Group A
Internacional Palmira 2:2 Tigres Bogota Tigres Bogota
2026-05-14 Torneo DIMAYOR 2026, Apertura, Group A
Tigres Bogota 1:2 Envigado Tigres Bogota
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
1 Points