Colombia. Serie A
Boca Juniors de Cali - Tigres Bogota
Boca Juniors de Cali face Tigres Bogota on August 1, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.
Recent form (W-D-L): Boca Juniors de Cali 3-1-1, Tigres Bogota 0-1-4. The market favourite is Boca Juniors de Cali at roughly 49%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win — broadly in line with the market. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Boca Juniors de Cali — 50%
Pure model vs market (1 · Boca Juniors de Cali): model 54% · market 49% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Boca Juniors de Cali 49.6%, draw 26.9%, win Tigres Bogota 23.5%. Model favourite — Boca Juniors de Cali.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Boka Khuniors Kali: probability 61% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.64)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Boca Juniors de Cali - Tigres Bogota August 1, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Boca Juniors de Cali.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.84 / X 3.36 / 2 3.89
- 1X2 market: Boca Juniors de Cali 49.4% / X 27.2% / Tigres Bogota 23.4%
- Glicko: Boca Juniors de Cali 49.6% / X 26.9% / Tigres Bogota 23.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera BHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Boca Juniors de Cali - Tigres Bogota
What data is collected and where it is shown
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 3.85 26.0% | 3.96 25.3% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.00 25.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.02 98.0% | 1.72 58.1% |
| yes | 10.50 9.5% | 2.00 50.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 3.85 26.0% |
| 1x | 1.18 84.8% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 1.77 56.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.08 92.6% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 0_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 1_1 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 1_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 1_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 2_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 3_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 3_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 3_2 | 23.00 4.4% |
Tigres Bogota
Full head-to-head historyBoca Juniors de Cali - Tigres Bogota
Match history
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The Boca Juniors de Cali - Tigres Bogota breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form