Colombia. Serie B
Internacional Palmira - Bogota FC
Internacional Palmira meet Bogota FC on August 2, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie B.
Recent form (W-D-L): Internacional Palmira 0-0-1, Bogota FC 1-0-0. The market favourite is Internacional Palmira at roughly 55%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 53% to win — broadly in line with the market. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Internacional Palmira — 53%
Pure model vs market (1 · Internacional Palmira): model 26% · market 55% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Internacional Palmira 53.3%, draw 26.4%, win Bogota FC 20.3%. Model favourite — Internacional Palmira.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Bogota: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.00)
- • no edge over the line (+0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Internacional Palmira - Bogota FC August 2, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Internacional Palmira.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 3.40 / 2 5.11
- 1X2 market: Internacional Palmira 55.4% / X 26.8% / Bogota FC 17.9%
- Glicko: Internacional Palmira 53.3% / X 26.4% / Bogota FC 20.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera BHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Internacional Palmira - Bogota FC
What data is collected and where it is shown
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.65 60.6% | |
| X | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 5.00 20.0% | 5.33 18.8% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.75 21.1% | 5.25 19.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.63 61.4% |
| yes | 2.15 46.5% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 0_1 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 0_2 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_3 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 1_0 | 4.75 21.1% |
| 1_1 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 1_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 1_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 3_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 3_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 3_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 3_3 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 4_0 | 26.00 3.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.31 43.3% | |
| X | 2.03 49.3% |
| 5.80 17.2% |
Bogota FC
Full head-to-head historyInternacional Palmira - Bogota FC
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form