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Colombia. Women. Liga Femenina
Colombia. Women. Liga Femenina
27.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Colombia. Women. Liga Femenina

Inter Bogota (w) - Fortaleza (Zh)

Football
I
Inter Bogota (w)
1 : 0
Finished
F
Fortaleza (Zh)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Inter Bogota (w) — 56%

Pure model vs market (1 · Inter Bogota (w)): model 44% · market 57% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Inter Bogota (w)56.4%
X · draw25.0%
2 · Fortaleza (Zh)18.6%

Model estimate: win Inter Bogota (w) 56.4%, draw 25.0%, win Fortaleza (Zh) 18.6%. Model favourite — Inter Bogota (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Inter Bogota (w) (odds1.49) Score 2:1 confidence 53% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Inter Bogotá (Zh): probability 53% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.49)
  • • no edge over the line (-14 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter Bogota (w) - Fortaleza (Zh) July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter Bogota (w).

Strongest: Inter Bogota (w) - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.60 / X 3.55 / 2 5.13
  • 1X2 market: Inter Bogota (w) 56.7% / X 25.6% / Fortaleza (Zh) 17.7%
  • Glicko: Inter Bogota (w) 56.4% / X 25.0% / Fortaleza (Zh) 18.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2%
1 56.7%
X 25.6%
2 17.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Femenina
Best price across 11 books
1 1.53 Unibet
X 4.20 BetVictor
2 7.00 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Inter Bogota (w)
W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 1.70 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.12 xGA 1.25
Fortaleza (Zh)
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 0.70 Conceded 1.50 xG 0.87 xGA 1.70

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Inter Bogota (w)
Rating 1626 xG 1.69 Win 57%
Fortaleza (Zh)
Rating 1427 xG 0.86 Win 19%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Inter Bogota (w) 3 : 0 Fortaleza (Zh)
11.42
X4.05
26.67

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 17:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Inter Bogota (w) 56%
💹 Market Inter Bogota (w) 5669%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Inter Bogota (w) - Fortaleza (Zh)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table home - 56.4% fact: home hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.287 / LogLoss 0.572
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table home - 56.4% fact: home hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.287 / LogLoss 0.572
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Inter Bogota (w) 57.2% 56.4% market and model agree
Draw 25.2% 25.0% draw risk
Fortaleza (Zh) 17.6% 18.6%
1X2: 14 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 56.4% / 25.0% / 18.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Inter Bogota (w) / Fortaleza (Zh)
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.24 market consensus · no value · model 18.6%
X 6.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 56.4%
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 75.0%
1X 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 81.4%
X2 7.50 Fonbet · no value · model 43.6%
Handicap
2 +1 1.90 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.80 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.69 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano BetVictor Dafabet
1.60 62.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.64 27.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.50 28.6%
5.10 19.6% 5.18 19.3% 5.00 20.0% 4.80 20.8% 5.50 18.2% 5.40 18.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.69 59.2%
yes 2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.06 94.3%
1x 1.04 96.2% 1.09 91.7% 1.07 93.5%
x2 2.30 43.5% 2.50 40.0% 7.50 13.3%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 8.50 11.8%
0_1 10.00 10.0%
0_2 23.00 4.4%
0_3 61.00 1.6%
1_0 5.25 19.1%
1_1 6.25 16.0%
1_2 13.00 7.7%
1_3 41.00 2.4%
1_4 126.00 0.8%
2_0 6.25 16.0%
2_1 6.50 15.4%
2_2 15.00 6.7%
2_3 41.00 2.4%
2_4 126.00 0.8%
3_0 10.00 10.0%
3_1 11.00 9.1%
3_2 23.00 4.4%
3_3 61.00 1.6%