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CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
29.07.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage

Luis Angel Firpo (w) - Fuerte San Francisco

Football
L
Luis Angel Firpo (w)
0 : 4
Finished
F
Fuerte San Francisco
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Luis Angel Firpo (w) — 49%

1 · Luis Angel Firpo (w)48.7%
X · draw19.6%
2 · Fuerte San Francisco31.7%

Model estimate: win Luis Angel Firpo (w) 48.7%, draw 19.6%, win Fuerte San Francisco 31.7%. Model favourite — Luis Angel Firpo (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Luis Angel Firpo (w) (odds2.05) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Luis Ankhel Firpo: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.05)
  • • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Luis Angel Firpo (w) - Fuerte San Francisco July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Luis Angel Firpo (w).

Line favourite market consensus: Luis Angel Firpo (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 4.30 / 2 8.30
  • Glicko: Luis Angel Firpo (w) 48.7% / X 19.6% / Fuerte San Francisco 31.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 67.4%
X 21.5%
2 11.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 4.30 ↑ 21.00
1X2 X 4.70 ↑ 9.00
1X2 2 1.50 ↓ 1.05

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Luis Angel Firpo (w) 0 : 2 Fuerte San Francisco
19.05
X4.05
21.35

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Luis Angel Firpo (w) - Fuerte San Francisco

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 48.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.743 / LogLoss 1.150
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 48.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.743 / LogLoss 1.150
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Luis Angel Firpo (w) 4.3% 48.7% Glicko contrarian
Draw 10.0% 19.6% draw risk
Fuerte San Francisco 85.7% 31.7% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 48.7% / 19.6% / 31.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,400 / 1,471 Luis Angel Firpo (w) / Fuerte San Francisco
RD 291 / 283 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 818-1,982 / 905-2,037 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.10 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 31.7%
X 4.27 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.36 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 48.7%
Double chance
12 1.18 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 80.4%
1X 1.04 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 68.3%
X2 3.00 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 51.3%
Total
Over 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.24 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.60 62.5%
yes 2.24 44.6%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.18 84.8%
1x 1.04 96.2%
x2 3.00 33.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.96 51.0%
X 2.17 46.1%
7.70 13.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.88 53.2%
Under 1 1.82 55.0%
Match center
Luis Angel Firpo (w)
L
26.07 19:00 UTC SALVADOR: Premier League - Apertura Standings
Luis Angel Firpo (w) 1:2 Agila
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Fuerte San Francisco
D
26.07 19:00 UTC SALVADOR: Premier League - Apertura Standings
Fuerte San Francisco 1:1 Platense
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points