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CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
29.07.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage

Olimpiya (Gon) - Deportivo Misko (Gva)

Football
O
Olimpiya (Gon)
1 : 1
Finished
D
Deportivo Misko (Gva)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Olimpiya (Gon) — 61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Olimpiya (Gon)): model 34% · market 62% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Olimpiya (Gon) ✓ Pick61.1%
market62%
X · draw21.9%
market21%
2 · Deportivo Misko (Gva)17.0%
market18%

Model estimate: win Olimpiya (Gon) 61.1%, draw 21.9%, win Deportivo Misko (Gva) 17.0%. Model favourite — Olimpiya (Gon).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Deportivo Misko (Gva) (odds1.32) Score 0:1 Under 2.5 (odds1.68) ✗ Handicap H1 +2.5 (odds1.60) ✓ confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.05→1.32 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Deportivo Misko (Gva): probability 50% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.32)
  • • no edge over the line (-26 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 0:1
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 1.68)
  • • Handicap F1 +2.5: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.60).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Olimpiya (Gon) - Deportivo Misko (Gva) July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Olimpiya (Gon).

Line favourite Fonbet: Olimpiya (Gon). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / X 4.50 / 2 5.30
  • Glicko: Olimpiya (Gon) 61.1% / X 21.9% / Deportivo Misko (Gva) 17.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 ✓ Pick 61.9%
X 20.6%
2 17.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.60 ↓ 1.58
1X2 X 3.95 → 3.95
1X2 2 1.05 ↑ 4.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Participant opinions
8 predictions Choose an outcome
1 0% 0
X 0% 0
2 100% 1
handicap1 handicap1:-1 1.77 (2) - handicap2:1 1.91 (1)
Total TB 2.5 1.73 (1)
Correct score 3:1 7.80 (1) - 0:1 9.80 (1)
total_under_half1 TB 1 1.72 (1)
Match center
Start 29.07.2026 00:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Deportivo Misko (Gva) 100%
📐 Math model Olimpiya (Gon) 61%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Olimpiya (Gon) - Deportivo Misko (Gva)

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 1 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 61.1% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.013 / LogLoss 1.520
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 61.1% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.013 / LogLoss 1.520
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Olimpiya (Gon) 62.8% 61.1% market and model agree
Draw 21.9% 21.9% draw risk
Deportivo Misko (Gva) 15.3% 17.0%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 61.1% / 21.9% / 17.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,301 / 1,500 Olimpiya (Gon) / Deportivo Misko (Gva)
RD 292 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 717-1,885 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.30 Fonbet · no value · model 17.0%
X 4.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.50 Fonbet · no value · model 61.1%
Double chance
12 1.19 Fonbet · no value · model 78.1%
1X 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 83.0%
X2 2.45 Fonbet · no value · model 38.9%
Handicap
2 -1 1.95 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.92 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.78 56.2% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.16 86.2% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0%
1x 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.15 87.0%
x2 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.45 40.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.01 49.8%
X 2.26 44.3%
5.90 17.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.73 57.8%
Under 1 1.99 50.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Olimpiya (Gon)DLDDWWWDWW
Source: ruscore

Odds · 2 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.6 (Pari) · X 3.9 (Pari) · 2 5.1 (Fonbet)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.6 3.9 4.4
Fonbet 1.55 3.7 5.1
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Olimpiya (Gon)
L
11.07 21:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
Olimpiya (Gon) 0:3 Khyuston Dinamo 🇺🇸Khyuston Dinamo 🇺🇸
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points