Match center
Start
27.07.2026 23:30 UTC
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27.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished
CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
Tauro - Sporting San Miguelito
T
Tauro
2
:
2
Finished
S
Sporting San Miguelito
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Tauro — 45%
Pure model vs market (1 · Tauro): model 44% · market 45% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Tauro 44.8%, draw 27.5%, win Sporting San Miguelito 27.7%. Model favourite — Tauro.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Xdraw (odds3.04)
Score 1:1
Under 3.5
(odds2.20)
confidence 50%
✓ outcome correct
- • liniya na pik X 4.50→3.15 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 33% on the line (odds 3.04)
- • edge over the line +17 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1
- • Total: Under 3.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
- • at line 3.5 (odds 2.20).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Tauro - Sporting San Miguelito July 27, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tauro.
Strongest: Tauro - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.02 / X 3.24 / 2 3.35
- 1X2 market: Tauro 44.8% / X 28.0% / Sporting San Miguelito 27.1%
- Glicko: Tauro 44.8% / X 27.5% / Sporting San Miguelito 27.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.2%
1
44.9%
X
28.0%
2
27.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
1.50
↑ 4.80
1X2 X
4.50
↓ 1.35
1X2 2
5.00
↑ 7.00
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga PanameG±a de FGєtbolLeague table
Tauro
LLDWL
Sporting San Miguelito
LWLDL
Best price
across 10 books
1
2.10
Pinnacle
X
3.35
10Bet
2
3.50
10Bet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Tauro
W-D-L 3-3-4
Scored 1.50
Conceded 1.41
xG 1.33
xGA 1.13
Sporting San Miguelito
W-D-L 2-3-5
Scored 1.20
Conceded 1.60
xG 1.33
xGA 1.04
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Tauro
Rating 1526
Sporting San Miguelito
Rating 1509
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Tauro
1
:
1
Sporting San Miguelito
12.03
X3.24
23.32
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Tauro 45%
💹 Market
Tauro 4484%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Tauro - Sporting San Miguelito
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
Form
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:2
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, table
home - 44.8% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.803 / LogLoss 1.291
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, table
home - 44.8% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.803 / LogLoss 1.291
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Tauro
44.9%
44.8%
market and model agree
Draw
27.8%
27.5%
draw risk
Sporting San Miguelito
27.3%
27.7%
1X2: 12 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
44.8% / 27.5% / 27.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,500 / 1,500
Tauro / Sporting San Miguelito
RD
350 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
800-2,200 / 800-2,200
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.00
Fonbet · no value · model 27.7%
X
1.18
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
7.20
Fonbet · no value · model 44.8%
Double chance
12
4.05
Fonbet · weak value +193.6% · model 72.5%
1X
1.05
Fonbet · no value · model 72.3%
X2
1.07
Fonbet · no value · model 55.2%
Handicap
2 0
2.20
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.98
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Yes
9.50
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.98 50.5% | 2.03 49.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.03 49.3% | |
| X | 3.35 29.9% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.15 31.8% |
| 3.50 28.6% | 3.32 30.1% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.02 98.0% | 1.90 52.6% |
| yes | 9.50 10.5% | 1.80 55.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.29 77.5% | 4.05 24.7% |
| 1x | 1.27 78.7% | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 1.72 58.1% | 1.07 93.5% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 0_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 1_1 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 1_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 1_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 1_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 2_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 2_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 3_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 3_2 | 21.00 4.8% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyTauro - Sporting San Miguelito
Tauro
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Tauro - Sporting San Miguelito breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form