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CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
02.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Finished

CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage

Veraguas - Deportivo Universitario

Football
V
Veraguas
2 : 1
Finished
D
Deportivo Universitario

Veraguas go head-to-head with Deportivo Universitario on August 2, 2026 in the CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Veraguas 1-4-0, Deportivo Universitario 1-0-4. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Veraguas the favourite at about 45%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 45% to win — broadly in line with the market. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Veraguas45%

Pure model vs market (1 · Veraguas): model 44% · market 45% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Veraguas44.5%
X · draw28.6%
2 · Deportivo Universitario26.8%

Model estimate: win Veraguas 44.5%, draw 28.6%, win Deportivo Universitario 26.8%. Model favourite — Veraguas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Veraguas (odds2.36) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Veraguas: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.36)
  • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Veraguas - Deportivo Universitario August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Veraguas.

Strongest: Veraguas - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.02 / X 3.07 / 2 3.45
  • 1X2 market: Veraguas 44.6% / X 29.3% / Deportivo Universitario 26.1%
  • Glicko: Veraguas 44.5% / X 28.6% / Deportivo Universitario 26.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9% 13 books · best price +3.9%
1 44.6%
X 29.0%
2 26.4%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga PanameG±a de FGєtbol
League table
Veraguas
#331 ptsGP 208-7-530:26
Deportivo Universitario
#1114 ptsGP 183-5-1021:31
Best price across 10 books
1 2.07 Pinnacle
X 3.25 Bet365
2 4.00 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Veraguas
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.09 xG 1.25 xGA 1.23
Deportivo Universitario
W-D-L 2-0-8 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.90 xG 1.05 xGA 1.31

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Veraguas
Rating 1523
Deportivo Universitario
Rating 1413

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Veraguas 1 : 1 Deportivo Universitario
12.14
X3.14
23.17

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Market 1 44.6% @ 2.02 / X 29.3% @ 3.07 / 2 26.1% @ 3.45
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Veraguas 45%
💹 Market Veraguas 4456%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Veraguas - Deportivo Universitario

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 44.5% fact: home hit / ROI 112.0% / Brier 0.462 / LogLoss 0.809
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 44.5% fact: home hit / ROI 112.0% / Brier 0.462 / LogLoss 0.809
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Veraguas 44.6% 44.5% market and model agree
Draw 29.0% 28.6% draw risk
Deportivo Universitario 26.4% 26.8%
xG - 1.24 : 0.93
1X2: 13 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 44.5% / 28.6% / 26.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Veraguas / Deportivo Universitario
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.45 market consensus · no value · model 26.8%
X 6.40 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 44.5%
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 71.4%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 73.2%
X2 6.80 Fonbet · weak value +277.2% · model 55.5%
Handicap
2 +1 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.68 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.04 49.0% 2.04 49.0% 1.75 57.1% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.04 32.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 2.80 35.7%
3.50 28.6% 3.54 28.3% 4.00 25.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2% 6.80 14.7%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 7.50 13.3%
0_1 7.50 13.3%
0_2 15.00 6.7%
0_3 34.00 2.9%
0_4 91.00 1.1%
1_0 5.50 18.2%
1_1 5.50 18.2%
1_2 10.00 10.0%
1_3 26.00 3.9%
1_4 76.00 1.3%
2_0 7.50 13.3%
2_1 7.50 13.3%
2_2 13.00 7.7%
2_3 34.00 2.9%
2_4 91.00 1.1%
3_0 15.00 6.7%
3_1 13.00 7.7%
3_2 26.00 3.9%
Match center
Veraguas
D D D W D
2026-07-26 Liga Panamena 26/27, Apertura, West
Veraguas Veraguas 1:1 Independiente de la Chorrera
2026-05-17 Liga Panamena, Clausura 2026, Playoffs
Veraguas Veraguas 2:2 Alianza Panama
2026-05-10 Liga Panamena, Clausura 2026, Playoffs
Veraguas Alianza Panama 0:0 Veraguas
2026-05-02 Liga Panamena, Clausura 2026, Western Conference
Veraguas Veraguas 1:0 Independiente de la Chorrera
2026-04-26 Liga Panamena, Clausura 2026, Western Conference
Veraguas Veraguas 1:1 Union Cocle
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Deportivo Universitario
L L L L W
2026-07-26 Liga Panamena 26/27, Apertura, West
Deportivo Universitario 1:2 San Francisco Deportivo Universitario
2026-05-02 Liga Panamena, Clausura 2026, Western Conference
San Francisco 5:2 Deportivo Universitario Deportivo Universitario
2026-04-26 Liga Panamena, Clausura 2026, Western Conference
Independiente de la Chorrera 3:2 Deportivo Universitario Deportivo Universitario
2026-04-18 Liga Panamena, Clausura 2026, Western Conference
Deportivo Universitario 0:1 Veraguas Deportivo Universitario
2026-04-12 Liga Panamena, Clausura 2026, Western Conference
Deportivo Universitario 2:0 Union Cocle Deportivo Universitario
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVeraguas - Deportivo Universitario

Veraguas
1 matches total
Deportivo Universitario
Veraguas: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Deportivo Universitario: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Veraguas 0:1 (2026-04-18) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 2026-04-18) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

2026-04-18 Liga Panamena, Clausura 2026, Western Conference
Deportivo Universitario 0:1 Veraguas