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CONCACAF Champions League
CONCACAF Champions League World
12.02.2026 03:00 UTC Match prediction
12.02.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

CONCACAF Champions League

Monterrey - Xelajú

World Football
Monterrey
Monterrey
2 : 0
Finished
Xelajú
Xelajú

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monterrey - Xelajú February 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monterrey.

Line favourite market consensus: Monterrey. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.07 / X 9.84 / 2 26.38
  • 1X2 market: Monterrey 86.7% / X 9.6% / Xelajú 3.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 68.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.4%
1 87.0%
X 9.5%
2 3.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.2%
Over 2.5 68.5%
Under 2.5 31.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.02.2026 03:00 UTC
Match center

Monterrey - Xelajú

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.07 market consensus · line only
X 8.98 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 7.07 market consensus · line only
12 1.04 market consensus · line only
1X 1.02 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 6.05 market consensus · line only
2 -1 6.52 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.10 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.11 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.93 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.41 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.06 94.3%
X 11.08 9.0%
23.85 4.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.05 95.2%
X 10.25 9.8% 8.80 11.4% 10.20 9.8% 12.00 8.3% 8.50 11.8% 10.00 10.0%
22.00 4.6% 17.00 5.9% 30.00 3.3% 23.00 4.4% 40.00 2.5% 26.00 3.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.42 70.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9%
yes 2.75 36.4% 2.51 39.8% 2.72 36.8% 2.75 36.4% 2.77 36.1% 2.88 34.7% 2.72 36.8% 2.89 34.6% 2.77 36.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 7.50 13.3% 7.80 12.8% 8.00 12.5% 8.00 12.5% 8.00 12.5% 7.90 12.7% 5.10 19.6%
home_away 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0% —
home_draw 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% — —
Match center
Monterrey
D D D W W
05.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Monterrey 1:1 Xelajú
13.03 00:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Monterrey 2:2 Vankuver UaytkepsVankuver Uaytkeps
06.03 03:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Monterrey 1:1 Vankuver UaytkepsVankuver Uaytkeps
12.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Monterrey 3:0 Forge
06.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Monterrey 2:0 Forge
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Xelajú
D
05.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Xelajú 1:1 MonterreyMonterrey
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonterrey - Xelajú

Monterrey
1 matches total
Xelajú
Monterrey: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Xelajú: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 05.02 01:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (05.02 01:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Monterrey
1:1
Xelajú