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CONCACAF Champions League
CONCACAF Champions League World
11.02.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

CONCACAF Champions League

Tigres UANL - Forge

World Football
Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
4 : 1
Finished
Forge
Forge

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tigres UANL - Forge February 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tigres UANL.

Line favourite market consensus: Tigres UANL. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.10 / X 8.31 / 2 21.77
  • 1X2 market: Tigres UANL 84.2% / X 11.3% / Forge 4.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.5%
1 84.5%
X 11.2%
2 4.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.9%
Over 2.5 63.9%
Under 2.5 36.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.02.2026 03:00 UTC
Match center

Tigres UANL - Forge

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 8.37 market consensus · line only
1 1.10 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 6.50 market consensus · line only
12 1.06 market consensus · line only
1X 1.02 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 5.73 market consensus · line only
2 -1 5.04 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.14 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.57 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.41 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.10 90.9%
X 9.16 10.9%
24.16 4.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.06 94.3%
X 8.70 11.5% 7.70 13.0% 8.50 11.8% 10.00 10.0% 7.90 12.7% 9.00 11.1%
21.00 4.8% 15.50 6.5% 25.00 4.0% 19.00 5.3% 24.00 4.2% 23.00 4.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.34 74.6% 1.41 70.9% 1.54 64.9%
yes 2.85 35.1% 2.53 39.5% 2.93 34.1% 2.75 36.4% 2.77 36.1% 2.75 36.4% 2.93 34.1% 2.83 35.3% 2.32 43.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 6.25 16.0% 6.65 15.0% 7.00 14.3% 7.40 13.5% 7.00 14.3% 6.65 15.0% 6.84 14.6%
home_away 1.05 95.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.08 92.6% 1.07 93.5% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2%
home_draw 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Tigres UANL
D L D W D
04.02 00:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL 0:0 Forge
02.05 02:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL 0:1 Cruz AzulCruz Azul
24.04 02:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL 1:1 Cruz AzulCruz Azul
09.04 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL 3:2 Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
02.04 03:15 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL 0:0 Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Forge
D L L
04.02 00:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Forge 0:0 Tigres UANLTigres UANL
12.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Forge 0:3 MonterreyMonterrey
06.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Forge 0:2 MonterreyMonterrey
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.7 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTigres UANL - Forge

Tigres UANL
1 matches total
Forge
Tigres UANL: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Forge: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (04.02 00:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

04.02 00:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL
0:0
Forge