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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
05.02.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
05.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

2 de Mayo - Alianza Lima

World Football
2 de Mayo
2 de Mayo
1 : 0
Finished
Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 2 de Mayo - Alianza Lima February 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alianza Lima.

Line favourite market consensus: Alianza Lima. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.62 / X 2.97 / 2 2.15
  • 1X2 market: 2 de Mayo 25.8% / X 31.2% / Alianza Lima 43.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 25.6%
X 31.2%
2 43.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 38.5%
Under 2.5 61.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

2 de Mayo - Alianza Lima

Form 0/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.16 market consensus · line only
X 2.98 market consensus · line only
1 3.64 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.68 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.68 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.91 25.6%
X 3.01 33.2%
2.16 46.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.80 26.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.96 25.3% 3.75 26.7% 3.60 27.8% 4.00 25.0%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.04 32.9% 2.80 35.7% 3.10 32.3% 2.92 34.3%
2.08 48.1% 2.17 46.1% 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.63 61.4% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.11 47.4% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.11 47.4% 2.19 45.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.25 80.0% 1.23 81.3%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9%
Match center
Alianza Lima
D L L W D
27.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Alianza Lima 2:2 Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
15.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Alianza Lima 0:2 Talleres Cordoba
06.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Alianza Lima 0:2 Sao Paulo
22.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Alianza Lima 3:2 Talleres Cordoba
11.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Alianza Lima 2:2 Sao Paulo
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history2 de Mayo - Alianza Lima

2 de Mayo
0 matches total
Alianza Lima
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history