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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
12.02.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
12.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Alianza Lima - 2 de Mayo

World Football
Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
1 : 1
Finished
2 de Mayo
2 de Mayo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alianza Lima - 2 de Mayo February 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alianza Lima.

Line favourite market consensus: Alianza Lima. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 4.30 / 2 8.46
  • 1X2 market: Alianza Lima 67.5% / X 21.5% / 2 de Mayo 11.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 67.5%
X 21.5%
2 10.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 46.0%
Under 2.5 54.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Alianza Lima - 2 de Mayo

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.52 market consensus · line only
X 4.32 market consensus · line only
1 1.37 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.90 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.03 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.27 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.60 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.33 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.36 73.5%
X 4.61 21.7%
9.35 10.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%
X 4.40 22.7% 4.25 23.5% 4.58 21.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.20 23.8%
7.80 12.8% 7.20 13.9% 9.80 10.2% 8.50 11.8% 7.50 13.3% 9.75 10.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.52 65.8% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.58 63.3%
yes 2.38 42.0% 2.43 41.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.38 42.0% 2.37 42.2% 2.25 44.4% 2.38 42.0% 2.38 42.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.85 35.1% 3.08 32.5% 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4% 3.20 31.3% 2.88 34.7%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.08 92.6% 1.04 96.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Alianza Lima
L D L L W
05.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Alianza Lima 0:1 2 de Mayo2 de Mayo
27.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Alianza Lima 2:2 Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
15.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Alianza Lima 0:2 Talleres Cordoba
06.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Alianza Lima 0:2 Sao Paulo
22.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Alianza Lima 3:2 Talleres Cordoba
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
2 de Mayo
W
05.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
2 de Mayo 1:0 Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlianza Lima - 2 de Mayo

Alianza Lima
1 matches total
2 de Mayo
Alianza Lima: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
2 de Mayo: 1 (100%)
Biggest win 2 de Mayo 0:1 (05.02 00:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 05.02 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

05.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Alianza Lima
0:1
2 de Mayo