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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
13.08.2025 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Atletico Nacional - Sao Paulo

World Football
Atletico Nacional
Atletico Nacional
0 : 0
Finished
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo

Atletico Nacional face Sao Paulo on August 13, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Atletico Nacional 2-0-1, Sao Paulo 2-1-0. The market favourite is Atletico Nacional at roughly 44%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Nacional - Sao Paulo August 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Nacional.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Nacional. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.15 / X 3.01 / 2 3.77
  • 1X2 market: Atletico Nacional 43.8% / X 31.3% / Sao Paulo 25.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 66.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6% 15 books · best price +3.3%
1 44.0%
X 31.2%
2 24.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.9%
Over 2.5 33.2%
Under 2.5 66.8%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.08.2025 00:30 UTC
Market 1 43.8% @ 2.15 / X 31.3% @ 3.01 / 2 25.0% @ 3.77
Match center

Atletico Nacional - Sao Paulo

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.77 market consensus · line only
X 3.01 market consensus · line only
1 2.15 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.69 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.67 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.57 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.57 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.31 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.10 47.6% 2.17 46.1% 2.18 45.9% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.22 45.1%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.08 32.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
3.90 25.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.86 25.9% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.55 64.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.56 64.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.59 62.9%
yes 2.30 43.5% 2.29 43.7% 2.29 43.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.41 41.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.27 78.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.12 89.3% 1.09 91.7%
Over 0.75 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.0 1.16 86.2%
Over 1.25 1.38 72.5%
Over 1.5 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4%
Over 1.75 1.76 56.8%
Over 2.0 2.01 49.8%
Over 2.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 3.5 5.75 17.4%
Over 4.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 0.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 1.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 2.0 1.87 53.5%
Under 2.5 1.42 70.4%
Under 3.5 1.12 89.3%
Under 4.5 1.03 97.1%
Match center
Atletico Nacional
L W W
28.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Atletico Nacional 0:1 Club NacionalClub Nacional
14.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Atletico Nacional 1:0 BahiaBahia
09.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Atletico Nacional 3:1 InternacionalInternacional
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.7 Conceded
6 Points
Sao Paulo
W D W
27.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sao Paulo 2:1 Talleres Cordoba
15.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sao Paulo 1:1 Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
06.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sao Paulo 2:0 Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
0.7 Conceded
7 Points