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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
14.08.2025 22:00 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Botafogo - LDU de Quito

World Football
Botafogo
Botafogo
1 : 0
Finished
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito

Botafogo take on LDU de Quito on August 14, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Botafogo 3-0-0, LDU de Quito 2-0-1. The market favourite is Botafogo at roughly 68%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Botafogo - LDU de Quito August 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Botafogo.

Line favourite Fonbet: Botafogo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / X 4.40 / 2 9.00
  • 1X2 market: Botafogo 67.9% / X 21.6% / LDU de Quito 10.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4% 18 books · best price +2.9%
1 67.8%
X 21.3%
2 10.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 46.3%
Under 2.5 53.7%

Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.08.2025 22:00 UTC
Market 1 67.9% @ 1.40 / X 21.6% @ 4.40 / 2 10.6% @ 9.00
Match center

Botafogo - LDU de Quito

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
X 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.95 Fonbet · line only
12 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.93 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 7.00 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4%
X 4.33 23.1% 4.55 22.0% 4.56 21.9% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.60 21.7%
9.50 10.5% 7.80 12.8% 8.90 11.2% 8.00 12.5% 9.50 10.5% 9.00 11.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.50 66.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.54 64.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
yes 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.34 42.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 2.95 33.9% 2.97 33.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7% 1.07 93.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.15 87.0%
Over 1.5 1.35 74.1% 1.29 77.5%
Over 1.75 1.38 72.5%
Over 2.5 2.10 47.6% 1.99 50.3%
Over 3.5 3.75 26.7%
Over 4.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 3.10 32.3%
Under 2.5 1.73 57.8% 1.89 52.9%
Under 3.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 4.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Botafogo
W W W
28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 1:0 Universidad de Chile
15.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 3:2 Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
06.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 2:1 Carabobo FCCarabobo FC
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
LDU de Quito
W L W
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
LDU de Quito 3:0 Central Cordoba de Santiago
16.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
LDU de Quito 0:2 FlamengoFlamengo
07.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
LDU de Quito 3:2 Deportivo Tachira FC
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBotafogo - LDU de Quito

Botafogo
0 matches total
LDU de Quito
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history