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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
13.08.2025 22:00 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cerro Porteno - Estudiantes L.P.

World Football
Cerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno
0 : 1
Finished
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.

Cerro Porteno face Estudiantes L.P. on August 13, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Cerro Porteno 1-0-2, Estudiantes L.P. 2-0-1. The bookmaker line makes Cerro Porteno the favourite at about 36%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cerro Porteno - Estudiantes L.P. August 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cerro Porteno.

Line favourite market consensus: Cerro Porteno. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 2.86 / 2 2.99
  • 1X2 market: Cerro Porteno 35.6% / X 32.9% / Estudiantes L.P. 31.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 66.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.9% 15 books · best price +4.5%
1 35.5%
X 33.0%
2 31.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%
Over 2.5 33.5%
Under 2.5 66.5%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.08.2025 22:00 UTC
Market 1 35.6% @ 2.65 / X 32.9% @ 2.86 / 2 31.5% @ 2.99
Match center

Cerro Porteno - Estudiantes L.P.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.99 market consensus · line only
X 2.86 market consensus · line only
1 2.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.47 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.93 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.76 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.62 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.20 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.66 37.6% 2.62 38.2% 2.68 37.3% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.77 36.1%
X 2.86 35.0% 2.82 35.5% 3.01 33.2% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5%
3.00 33.3% 2.92 34.3% 2.98 33.6% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.60 62.5% 1.69 59.2% 1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.20 45.5% 2.13 47.0% 2.21 45.3% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.21 45.3% 2.23 44.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.48 67.6%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.41 70.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.13 88.5% 1.09 91.7%
Over 0.75 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.0 1.16 86.2%
Over 1.25 1.37 73.0%
Over 1.5 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4%
Over 1.75 1.75 57.1%
Over 2.0 2.06 48.5%
Over 2.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 3.5 5.75 17.4%
Over 4.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 0.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 1.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 2.0 1.82 55.0%
Under 2.5 1.42 70.4%
Under 3.5 1.12 89.3%
Under 4.5 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Cerro Porteno
L W L
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 0:4 BolívarBolívar
14.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 1:0 Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
08.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 0:2 PalmeirasPalmeiras
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Estudiantes L.P.
W L W
28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. 2:0 Carabobo FCCarabobo FC
15.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. 2:3 BotafogoBotafogo
08.05 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. 3:0 Universidad de Chile
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points