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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
20.08.2025 22:00 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P. - Cerro Porteno

World Football
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0
Finished
Cerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno

Estudiantes L.P. go head-to-head with Cerro Porteno on August 20, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Estudiantes L.P. 3-0-1, Cerro Porteno 1-0-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Estudiantes L.P., an implied 55% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Estudiantes L.P. - Cerro Porteno August 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Estudiantes L.P..

Line favourite Fonbet: Estudiantes L.P.. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.73 / X 3.55 / 2 5.20
  • 1X2 market: Estudiantes L.P. 54.9% / X 26.8% / Cerro Porteno 18.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0% 17 books · best price +2.9%
1 54.8%
X 27.0%
2 18.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 41.3%
Under 2.5 58.7%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.08.2025 22:00 UTC
Market 1 54.9% @ 1.73 / X 26.8% @ 3.55 / 2 18.3% @ 5.20
Match center

Estudiantes L.P. - Cerro Porteno

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.20 Fonbet · line only
X 3.55 Fonbet · line only
1 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.10 Fonbet · line only
12 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.53 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 4.90 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.73 57.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.55 28.2% 3.73 26.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2%
5.20 19.2% 5.40 18.5% 4.76 21.0% 4.80 20.8% 5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.62 61.7% 1.66 60.2% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.63 61.4%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.17 46.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.15 87.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.08 92.6% 1.04 96.2%
Over 0.75 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.0 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.25 1.23 81.3%
Over 1.5 1.44 69.4%
Over 2.0 1.72 58.1%
Over 2.25 2.01 49.8%
Over 2.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 3.5 4.33 23.1%
Over 4.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 0.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 1.5 2.70 37.0%
Under 2.0 2.16 46.3%
Under 2.25 1.87 53.5%
Under 2.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 3.5 1.20 83.3%
Under 4.5 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Estudiantes L.P.
W W L W
13.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. 1:0 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. 2:0 Carabobo FCCarabobo FC
15.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. 2:3 BotafogoBotafogo
08.05 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. 3:0 Universidad de Chile
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Cerro Porteno
L L W L
13.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 0:1 Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 0:4 BolívarBolívar
14.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 1:0 Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
08.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Cerro Porteno 0:2 PalmeirasPalmeiras
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.3 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEstudiantes L.P. - Cerro Porteno

Estudiantes L.P.
1 matches total
Cerro Porteno
Estudiantes L.P.: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cerro Porteno: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Estudiantes L.P. 1:0 (13.08 22:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 13.08 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

13.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P.
1:0
Cerro Porteno