CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fortaleza EC - Velez Sarsfield
Fortaleza EC take on Velez Sarsfield on August 12, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Fortaleza EC 1-1-1, Velez Sarsfield 1-2-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Fortaleza EC, an implied 40% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Fortaleza EC - Velez Sarsfield August 12, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fortaleza EC.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.36 / X 2.90 / 2 3.41
- 1X2 market: Fortaleza EC 39.9% / X 32.5% / Velez Sarsfield 27.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 68.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Fortaleza EC - Velez Sarsfield
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.40 41.7% | 2.09 47.9% | 2.39 41.8% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.45 40.8% | |
| X | 2.84 35.2% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.92 34.3% |
| 3.45 29.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.44 29.1% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.65 27.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.53 65.4% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.55 64.5% |
| yes | 2.38 42.0% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.29 43.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.29 43.7% | 2.50 40.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.55 64.5% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.59 62.9% |
| home_away | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.40 71.4% |
| home_draw | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.32 75.8% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.38 72.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.67 59.9% | — | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.79 55.9% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.15 46.5% | — | — |
| Under 2.0 | — | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.35 74.1% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.03 97.1% | — | — |
Fortaleza EC
Velez Sarsfield
Penarol
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Olimpia
Full head-to-head historyFortaleza EC - Velez Sarsfield
Match history
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