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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
12.08.2025 22:00 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Fortaleza EC - Velez Sarsfield

World Football
Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC
0 : 0
Finished
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield

Fortaleza EC take on Velez Sarsfield on August 12, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Fortaleza EC 1-1-1, Velez Sarsfield 1-2-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Fortaleza EC, an implied 40% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fortaleza EC - Velez Sarsfield August 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fortaleza EC.

Line favourite market consensus: Fortaleza EC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.36 / X 2.90 / 2 3.41
  • 1X2 market: Fortaleza EC 39.9% / X 32.5% / Velez Sarsfield 27.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 68.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1% 15 books · best price +3.4%
1 39.8%
X 32.8%
2 27.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 31.4%
Under 2.5 68.6%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.08.2025 22:00 UTC
Market 1 39.9% @ 2.36 / X 32.5% @ 2.90 / 2 27.6% @ 3.41
Match center

Fortaleza EC - Velez Sarsfield

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.41 market consensus · line only
X 2.90 market consensus · line only
1 2.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.58 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.33 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.00 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.35 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.40 41.7% 2.09 47.9% 2.39 41.8% 2.38 42.0% 2.35 42.6% 2.45 40.8%
X 2.84 35.2% 3.15 31.8% 3.00 33.3% 2.88 34.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.92 34.3%
3.45 29.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.44 29.1% 3.20 31.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.53 65.4% 1.63 61.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5%
yes 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.29 43.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.37 42.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.29 43.7% 2.50 40.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.15 87.0% 1.09 91.7%
Over 0.75 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.0 1.16 86.2%
Over 1.25 1.38 72.5%
Over 1.5 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9%
Over 1.75 1.79 55.9%
Over 2.0 1.95 51.3%
Over 2.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 3.5 6.50 15.4%
Over 4.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 0.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 1.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 2.0 1.93 51.8%
Under 2.5 1.35 74.1%
Under 3.5 1.10 90.9%
Under 4.5 1.03 97.1%
Match center
Fortaleza EC
L D W
30.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fortaleza EC 0:1 Racing Club
14.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fortaleza EC 0:0 Bucaramanga
07.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fortaleza EC 4:0 Colo Colo
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.3 Conceded
4 Points
Velez Sarsfield
D W D
29.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Velez Sarsfield 0:0 PenarolPenarol
14.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Velez Sarsfield 3:0 San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
08.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Velez Sarsfield 1:1 OlimpiaOlimpia
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.3 Conceded
5 Points