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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
21.08.2025 22:00 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

LDU de Quito - Botafogo

World Football
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
2 : 0
Finished
Botafogo
Botafogo

LDU de Quito face Botafogo on August 21, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): LDU de Quito 2-0-2, Botafogo 4-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes LDU de Quito the favourite at about 44%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction LDU de Quito - Botafogo August 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like LDU de Quito.

Line favourite Fonbet: LDU de Quito. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.15 / X 3.05 / 2 3.90
  • 1X2 market: LDU de Quito 44.3% / X 31.3% / Botafogo 24.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2% 17 books · best price +3.3%
1 44.0%
X 31.4%
2 24.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 38.3%
Under 2.5 61.7%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.08.2025 22:00 UTC
Market 1 44.3% @ 2.15 / X 31.2% @ 3.05 / 2 24.4% @ 3.90
Match center

LDU de Quito - Botafogo

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.90 Fonbet · line only
X 3.05 Fonbet · line only
1 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.70 Fonbet · line only
12 1.38 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.28 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.76 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.07 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.22 45.1% 2.19 45.7% 2.16 46.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.20 45.5%
X 2.96 33.8% 3.05 32.8% 3.08 32.5% 2.80 35.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
3.65 27.4% 3.35 29.9% 3.94 25.4% 3.75 26.7% 4.20 23.8% 4.05 24.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.70 58.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6%
yes 2.05 48.8% 1.93 51.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.65 60.6% 1.71 58.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.10 90.9% 1.06 94.3%
Over 0.75 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.0 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.25 1.27 78.7%
Over 1.5 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4%
Over 1.75 1.57 63.7%
Over 2.25 2.02 49.5%
Over 2.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 3.5 4.75 21.1%
Over 4.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 0.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 1.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 2.25 1.86 53.8%
Under 2.5 1.53 65.4%
Under 3.5 1.18 84.8%
Under 4.5 1.05 95.2%
Match center
LDU de Quito
L W L W
14.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
LDU de Quito 0:1 BotafogoBotafogo
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
LDU de Quito 3:0 Central Cordoba de Santiago
16.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
LDU de Quito 0:2 FlamengoFlamengo
07.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
LDU de Quito 3:2 Deportivo Tachira FC
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points
Botafogo
W W W W
14.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 1:0 LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 1:0 Universidad de Chile
15.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 3:2 Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
06.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 2:1 Carabobo FCCarabobo FC
4 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLDU de Quito - Botafogo

LDU de Quito
1 matches total
Botafogo
LDU de Quito: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Botafogo: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Botafogo 0:1 (14.08 22:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 14.08 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

14.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
LDU de Quito
0:1
Botafogo