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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
24.10.2025 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

LDU de Quito - Palmeiras

World Football
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
3 : 0
Finished
Palmeiras
Palmeiras

LDU de Quito face Palmeiras on October 24, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): LDU de Quito 3-0-0, Palmeiras 2-1-0. The bookmaker line makes Palmeiras the favourite at about 41%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction LDU de Quito - Palmeiras October 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Palmeiras.

Line favourite Fonbet: Palmeiras. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.70 / X 2.85 / 2 2.30
  • 1X2 market: LDU de Quito 25.6% / X 33.2% / Palmeiras 41.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 25.6%
X 33.2%
2 41.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.8%
Over 2.5 36.7%
Under 2.5 63.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.10.2025 00:30 UTC
Market 1 25.6% @ 3.70 / X 33.2% @ 2.85 / 2 41.2% @ 2.30
Match center

LDU de Quito - Palmeiras

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.30 Fonbet · line only
X 2.85 Fonbet · line only
1 3.70 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.28 Fonbet · line only
12 1.42 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
3.90 25.6% 2.80 35.7% 3.64 27.5% 3.10 32.3% 4.00 25.0% 3.80 26.3%
X 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.88 34.7%
2.18 45.9% 2.49 40.2% 2.31 43.3% 2.55 39.2% 2.32 43.1% 2.15 46.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin Fonbet
no 1.67 59.9% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.63 61.4% 1.70 58.8%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.24 44.6% 2.08 48.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betway Bwin
draw_away 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.65 60.6% 1.63 61.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.51 66.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.11 90.1% 1.06 94.3%
Over 0.75 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.0 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.25 1.28 78.1%
Over 1.5 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5%
Over 1.75 1.60 62.5%
Over 2.0 2.02 49.5%
Over 2.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 3.5 5.00 20.0%
Over 4.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 0.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 1.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 2.0 1.87 53.5%
Under 2.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 3.5 1.17 85.5%
Under 4.5 1.04 96.2%
Match center
LDU de Quito
W W W
25.09 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
LDU de Quito 1:0 Sao Paulo
21.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
LDU de Quito 2:0 BotafogoBotafogo
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
LDU de Quito 3:0 Central Cordoba de Santiago
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
9 Points
Palmeiras
W D W
25.09 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 3:1 River Plate
22.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 0:0 UniversitarioUniversitario
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 6:0 Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLDU de Quito - Palmeiras

LDU de Quito
0 matches total
Palmeiras
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history