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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
18.09.2025 22:00 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

LDU de Quito - Sao Paulo

World Football
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
2 : 0
Finished
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo

LDU de Quito go head-to-head with Sao Paulo on September 18, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): LDU de Quito 3-0-1, Sao Paulo 2-2-0. The bookmaker line makes LDU de Quito the favourite at about 47%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction LDU de Quito - Sao Paulo September 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like LDU de Quito.

Line favourite market consensus: LDU de Quito. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.99 / X 2.95 / 2 4.55
  • 1X2 market: LDU de Quito 47.3% / X 32.0% / Sao Paulo 20.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 68.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8% 14 books · best price +3.5%
1 47.1%
X 32.4%
2 20.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.8%
Over 2.5 31.1%
Under 2.5 68.9%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.09.2025 22:00 UTC
Market 1 47.3% @ 1.99 / X 31.9% @ 2.95 / 2 20.7% @ 4.55
Match center

LDU de Quito - Sao Paulo

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.55 market consensus · line only
X 2.95 market consensus · line only
1 1.99 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.81 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.36 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.44 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.01 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.50 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.00 50.0% 1.90 52.6% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.90 52.6% 2.07 48.3%
X 2.90 34.5% 3.25 30.8% 2.98 33.6% 2.80 35.7% 3.30 30.3% 3.00 33.3%
4.65 21.5% 4.05 24.7% 4.66 21.5% 4.40 22.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.80 20.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.48 67.6% 1.63 61.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.46 68.5% 1.53 65.4%
yes 2.45 40.8% 2.24 44.6% 2.52 39.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.20 45.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.52 39.7% 2.57 38.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5% 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.19 84.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.15 87.0% 1.11 90.1%
Over 0.75 1.15 87.0%
Over 1.0 1.21 82.6%
Over 1.25 1.49 67.1%
Over 1.5 1.65 60.6% 1.71 58.5%
Over 1.75 1.93 51.8%
Over 2.0 1.87 53.5%
Over 2.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 3.5 6.50 15.4%
Over 4.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 0.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 1.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 2.0 2.02 49.5%
Under 2.5 1.35 74.1%
Under 3.5 1.10 90.9%
Under 4.5 1.03 97.1%
Match center
LDU de Quito
W W L W
21.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
LDU de Quito 2:0 BotafogoBotafogo
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
LDU de Quito 3:0 Central Cordoba de Santiago
16.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
LDU de Quito 0:2 FlamengoFlamengo
07.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
LDU de Quito 3:2 Deportivo Tachira FC
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Sao Paulo
D W D W
20.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sao Paulo 1:1 Atletico Nacional
27.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sao Paulo 2:1 Talleres Cordoba
15.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sao Paulo 1:1 Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
06.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sao Paulo 2:0 Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLDU de Quito - Sao Paulo

LDU de Quito
0 matches total
Sao Paulo
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history