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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
15.08.2025 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Libertad Asuncion - River Plate

World Football
Libertad Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 0
Finished
River Plate
River Plate

Libertad Asuncion take on River Plate on August 15, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Libertad Asuncion 0-3-0, River Plate 2-1-0. The market favourite is River Plate at roughly 51%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Libertad Asuncion - River Plate August 15, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like River Plate.

Line favourite Fonbet: River Plate. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.80 / X 3.25 / 2 1.85
  • 1X2 market: Libertad Asuncion 19.7% / X 29.1% / River Plate 51.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2% 18 books · best price +2.9%
1 20.2%
X 29.4%
2 50.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 38.8%
Under 2.5 61.3%

Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.08.2025 00:30 UTC
Market 1 19.7% @ 4.80 / X 29.1% @ 3.25 / 2 51.2% @ 1.85
Match center

Libertad Asuncion - River Plate

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.85 Fonbet · line only
X 3.25 Fonbet · line only
1 4.80 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 Fonbet · line only
12 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.04 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.75 21.1% 4.05 24.7% 4.66 21.5% 4.20 23.8% 5.00 20.0% 4.85 20.6%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.34 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3%
1.87 53.5% 1.93 51.8% 1.89 52.9% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.34 42.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6% 1.18 84.8%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.11 90.1% 1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.0 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.25 1.28 78.1%
Over 1.5 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9%
Over 1.75 1.62 61.7%
Over 2.0 1.98 50.5%
Over 2.5 2.62 38.2%
Over 3.5 5.25 19.1%
Over 4.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 0.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 1.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 2.0 1.90 52.6%
Under 2.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 3.5 1.15 87.0%
Under 4.5 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Libertad Asuncion
D D D
27.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Libertad Asuncion 2:2 Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
15.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Libertad Asuncion 1:1 Sao Paulo
08.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Libertad Asuncion 0:0 Talleres Cordoba
0 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
River Plate
D W W
28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
River Plate 1:1 UniversitarioUniversitario
16.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
River Plate 6:2 Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
09.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
River Plate 3:2 Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.3 Scored
1.7 Conceded
7 Points