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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
22.08.2025 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Palmeiras - Universitario

World Football
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
0 : 0
Finished
Universitario
Universitario

Palmeiras meet Universitario on August 22, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Palmeiras 4-0-0, Universitario 1-2-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Palmeiras the favourite at about 73%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Palmeiras - Universitario August 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Palmeiras.

Line favourite Fonbet: Palmeiras. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / X 5.30 / 2 10.00
  • 1X2 market: Palmeiras 72.7% / X 17.8% / Universitario 9.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1% 17 books · best price +3.1%
1 72.1%
X 18.1%
2 9.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 57.7%
Under 2.5 42.3%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.08.2025 00:30 UTC
Market 1 72.7% @ 1.30 / X 17.8% @ 5.30 / 2 9.5% @ 10.00
Match center

Palmeiras - Universitario

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
X 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 3.55 Fonbet · line only
12 1.16 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.39 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.70 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 7.50 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.05 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.33 75.2% 1.26 79.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%
X 5.20 19.2% 5.40 18.5% 5.36 18.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.30 18.9%
8.60 11.6% 9.50 10.5% 9.80 10.2% 9.50 10.5% 9.50 10.5% 10.25 9.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.77 56.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.65 60.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.68 59.5%
yes 1.95 51.3% 2.22 45.1% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.10 47.6% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.07 93.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3% 1.16 86.2%
Over 1.75 1.20 83.3%
Over 2.0 1.26 79.4%
Over 2.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 2.75 1.87 53.5%
Over 3.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 4.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 2.75 2.01 49.8%
Under 3.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Palmeiras
W W W W
15.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 4:0 UniversitarioUniversitario
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 6:0 Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
15.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 2:0 BolívarBolívar
08.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 2:0 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
4 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
12 Points
Universitario
L D W D
15.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Universitario 0:4 PalmeirasPalmeiras
28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Universitario 1:1 River Plate
15.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Universitario 1:0 Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
09.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Universitario 1:1 Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.5 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPalmeiras - Universitario

Palmeiras
1 matches total
Universitario
Palmeiras: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Universitario: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Palmeiras 4:0 (15.08 00:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (4:0, 15.08 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 4

Match history

15.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras
4:0
Universitario