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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
13.08.2025 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Penarol - Racing Club

World Football
Penarol
Penarol
1 : 0
Finished
Racing Club
Racing Club

Penarol meet Racing Club on August 13, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Penarol 2-1-0, Racing Club 3-0-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Penarol, an implied 34% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Penarol - Racing Club August 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Penarol.

Line favourite market consensus: Penarol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.80 / X 2.86 / 2 2.82
  • 1X2 market: Penarol 33.6% / X 33.0% / Racing Club 33.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0% 15 books · best price +6.4%
1 33.5%
X 33.2%
2 33.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 36.2%
Under 2.5 63.8%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.08.2025 00:30 UTC
Market 1 33.6% @ 2.80 / X 32.9% @ 2.86 / 2 33.4% @ 2.82
Match center

Penarol - Racing Club

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.82 market consensus · line only
X 2.86 market consensus · line only
1 2.80 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.42 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.42 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.75 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.11 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.71 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.74 36.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.88 34.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.95 33.9%
X 2.92 34.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.89 34.6% 2.75 36.4% 2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5%
2.84 35.2% 2.74 36.5% 2.88 34.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.95 33.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.68 59.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1% 2.16 46.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.43 69.9%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.43 69.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.11 90.1% 1.08 92.6%
Over 0.75 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.0 1.13 88.5%
Over 1.25 1.31 76.3%
Over 1.5 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7%
Over 1.75 1.64 61.0%
Over 2.0 1.89 52.9%
Over 2.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 3.5 5.00 20.0%
Over 4.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 0.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 1.5 2.50 40.0%
Under 2.0 1.99 50.3%
Under 2.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 3.5 1.17 85.5%
Under 4.5 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Penarol
D W W
29.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 0:0 Velez Sarsfield
14.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 3:2 OlimpiaOlimpia
07.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 3:0 San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.7 Conceded
7 Points
Racing Club
W W W
30.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club 1:0 Fortaleza EC
15.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club 4:0 Colo Colo
06.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club 4:0 Bucaramanga
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPenarol - Racing Club

Penarol
0 matches total
Racing Club
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history