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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
20.08.2025 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Racing Club - Penarol

World Football
Racing Club
Racing Club
3 : 1
Finished
Penarol
Penarol

Racing Club face Penarol on August 20, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Racing Club 3-0-1, Penarol 3-1-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Racing Club the favourite at about 65%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Racing Club - Penarol August 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Racing Club.

Line favourite Fonbet: Racing Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.47 / X 4.05 / 2 8.00
  • 1X2 market: Racing Club 64.7% / X 23.5% / Penarol 11.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.9% 18 books · best price +8.8%
1 63.8%
X 23.4%
2 12.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 42.3%
Under 2.5 57.7%

Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.08.2025 00:30 UTC
Market 1 64.7% @ 1.47 / X 23.5% @ 4.05 / 2 11.9% @ 8.00
Match center

Racing Club - Penarol

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.00 Fonbet · line only
X 4.05 Fonbet · line only
1 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.70 Fonbet · line only
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.65 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.98 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 6.50 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.49 67.1% 1.48 67.6% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.53 65.4%
X 4.10 24.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.16 24.0% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.15 24.1%
7.00 14.3% 6.30 15.9% 7.70 13.0% 7.00 14.3% 7.50 13.3% 7.80 12.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1%
yes 2.20 45.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.36 42.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 2.55 39.2% 2.66 37.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.60 38.5%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 1.20 83.3%
Over 1.5 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5%
Over 1.75 1.46 68.5%
Over 2.25 1.93 51.8%
Over 2.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 3.5 3.85 26.0%
Over 4.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 3.10 32.3%
Under 2.25 1.95 51.3%
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 3.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 4.5 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Racing Club
L W W W
13.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club 0:1 PenarolPenarol
30.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club 1:0 Fortaleza EC
15.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club 4:0 Colo Colo
06.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club 4:0 Bucaramanga
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
0.3 Conceded
9 Points
Penarol
W D W W
13.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 1:0 Racing Club
29.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 0:0 Velez Sarsfield
14.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 3:2 OlimpiaOlimpia
07.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Penarol 3:0 San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.5 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRacing Club - Penarol

Racing Club
1 matches total
Penarol
Racing Club: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Penarol: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Penarol 0:1 (13.08 00:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 13.08 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

13.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club
0:1
Penarol