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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
23.09.2025 22:00 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Racing Club - Velez Sarsfield

World Football
Racing Club
Racing Club
1 : 0
Finished
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield

Racing Club face Velez Sarsfield on September 23, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Racing Club 4-0-0, Velez Sarsfield 2-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Racing Club the favourite at about 41%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Racing Club - Velez Sarsfield September 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Racing Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Racing Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.31 / X 3.01 / 2 3.38
  • 1X2 market: Racing Club 40.8% / X 31.3% / Velez Sarsfield 27.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7% 13 books · best price +4.4%
1 40.9%
X 31.5%
2 27.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 39.3%
Under 2.5 60.7%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.09.2025 22:00 UTC
Market 1 40.8% @ 2.31 / X 31.3% @ 3.01 / 2 27.9% @ 3.38
Match center

Racing Club - Velez Sarsfield

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.38 market consensus · line only
X 3.01 market consensus · line only
1 2.31 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.33 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.41 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.20 45.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.35 42.6% 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.08 32.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 2.90 34.5%
3.45 29.0% 3.10 32.3% 3.42 29.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.70 58.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.65 60.6% 1.71 58.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.76 56.8%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.02 49.5% 1.99 50.3% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.63 61.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.10 90.9% 1.04 96.2%
Over 0.75 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.0 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.25 1.25 80.0%
Over 1.5 1.50 66.7% 1.42 70.4%
Over 1.75 1.55 64.5%
Over 2.0 1.93 51.8%
Over 2.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 3.5 4.75 21.1%
Over 4.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 0.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 1.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 2.0 1.95 51.3%
Under 2.5 1.53 65.4%
Under 3.5 1.18 84.8%
Under 4.5 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Racing Club
W W W W
16.09 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club 1:0 Velez Sarsfield
20.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club 3:1 PenarolPenarol
30.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club 1:0 Fortaleza EC
15.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club 4:0 Colo Colo
4 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.3 Scored
0.3 Conceded
12 Points
Velez Sarsfield
L W D W
16.09 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Velez Sarsfield 0:1 Racing Club
19.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Velez Sarsfield 2:0 Fortaleza EC
29.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Velez Sarsfield 0:0 PenarolPenarol
14.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Velez Sarsfield 3:0 San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.3 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRacing Club - Velez Sarsfield

Racing Club
1 matches total
Velez Sarsfield
Racing Club: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Velez Sarsfield: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Racing Club 1:0 (16.09 22:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 16.09 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

16.09 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club
1:0
Velez Sarsfield