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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
18.09.2025 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

River Plate - Palmeiras

World Football
River Plate
River Plate
1 : 2
Finished
Palmeiras
Palmeiras

River Plate take on Palmeiras on September 18, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): River Plate 2-2-0, Palmeiras 3-1-0. Sportsbooks lean towards River Plate, an implied 37% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction River Plate - Palmeiras September 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like River Plate.

Line favourite market consensus: River Plate. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.51 / X 2.60 / 2 3.60
  • 1X2 market: River Plate 37.5% / X 36.2% / Palmeiras 26.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 72.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5% 15 books · best price +4.8%
1 37.5%
X 36.9%
2 25.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.7%
Over 2.5 27.3%
Under 2.5 72.7%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.09.2025 00:30 UTC
Market 1 37.6% @ 2.51 / X 36.3% @ 2.60 / 2 26.2% @ 3.60
Match center

River Plate - Palmeiras

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.60 market consensus · line only
X 2.60 market consensus · line only
1 2.51 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.47 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.47 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.43 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.51 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.42 41.3% 2.49 40.2% 2.52 39.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.62 38.2% 2.62 38.2%
X 2.60 38.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2%
3.80 26.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.78 26.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.80 26.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 1.48 67.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.78 56.2% 1.44 69.4%
yes 2.50 40.0% 2.17 46.1% 2.58 38.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.45 40.8% 2.60 38.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.58 38.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.42 70.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.18 84.8% 1.16 86.2%
Over 0.75 1.23 81.3%
Over 1.0 1.30 76.9%
Over 1.25 1.59 62.9%
Over 1.5 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4%
Over 1.75 2.12 47.2%
Over 2.0 2.05 48.8%
Over 2.5 3.45 29.0%
Over 3.5 7.50 13.3%
Over 4.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 0.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 1.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 2.0 1.84 54.4%
Under 2.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 3.5 1.08 92.6%
Under 4.5 1.04 96.2%
Match center
River Plate
D D W W
22.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
River Plate 1:1 Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
River Plate 1:1 UniversitarioUniversitario
16.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
River Plate 6:2 Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
09.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
River Plate 3:2 Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
1.5 Conceded
8 Points
Palmeiras
D W W W
22.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 0:0 UniversitarioUniversitario
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 6:0 Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
15.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 2:0 BolívarBolívar
08.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 2:0 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRiver Plate - Palmeiras

River Plate
0 matches total
Palmeiras
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history