CONMEBOL Libertadores
River Plate - Palmeiras
River Plate take on Palmeiras on September 18, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): River Plate 2-2-0, Palmeiras 3-1-0. Sportsbooks lean towards River Plate, an implied 37% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction River Plate - Palmeiras September 18, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like River Plate.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.51 / X 2.60 / 2 3.60
- 1X2 market: River Plate 37.5% / X 36.2% / Palmeiras 26.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 72.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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River Plate - Palmeiras
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.42 41.3% | 2.49 40.2% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.62 38.2% | |
| X | 2.60 38.5% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.62 38.2% |
| 3.80 26.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.78 26.5% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.80 26.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.48 67.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.44 69.4% |
| yes | 2.50 40.0% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.58 38.8% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.58 38.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.53 65.4% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% |
| home_away | 1.42 70.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.37 73.0% |
| home_draw | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.35 74.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.59 62.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.80 55.6% | — | 1.84 54.4% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 2.12 47.2% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 3.45 29.0% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.00 50.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.0 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.30 76.9% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | — |
River Plate
Libertad Asuncion
Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
Palmeiras
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
Bolívar
Cerro Porteno
Full head-to-head historyRiver Plate - Palmeiras
Match history
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