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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
20.08.2025 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Sao Paulo - Atletico Nacional

World Football
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
1 : 1
Finished
Atletico Nacional
Atletico Nacional

Sao Paulo meet Atletico Nacional on August 20, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sao Paulo 2-2-0, Atletico Nacional 2-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Sao Paulo at roughly 50%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sao Paulo - Atletico Nacional August 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sao Paulo.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sao Paulo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.90 / X 3.25 / 2 4.60
  • 1X2 market: Sao Paulo 50.1% / X 29.3% / Atletico Nacional 20.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2% 18 books · best price +4.7%
1 49.1%
X 29.8%
2 21.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 38.8%
Under 2.5 61.3%

Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.08.2025 00:30 UTC
Market 1 50.1% @ 1.90 / X 29.3% @ 3.25 / 2 20.7% @ 4.60
Match center

Sao Paulo - Atletico Nacional

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.60 Fonbet · line only
X 3.25 Fonbet · line only
1 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.90 Fonbet · line only
12 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 4.37 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.28 30.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3%
4.75 21.1% 4.30 23.3% 4.56 21.9% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.55 22.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.60 62.5% 1.56 64.1% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5%
yes 2.20 45.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.23 44.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.22 45.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.91 52.4% 1.89 52.9% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.10 90.9% 1.06 94.3%
Over 0.75 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.0 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.25 1.31 76.3%
Over 1.5 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9%
Over 1.75 1.64 61.0%
Over 2.0 1.96 51.0%
Over 2.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 3.5 5.00 20.0%
Over 4.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 0.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 1.5 2.50 40.0%
Under 2.0 1.92 52.1%
Under 2.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 3.5 1.17 85.5%
Under 4.5 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Sao Paulo
D W D W
13.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sao Paulo 0:0 Atletico Nacional
27.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sao Paulo 2:1 Talleres Cordoba
15.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sao Paulo 1:1 Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
06.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sao Paulo 2:0 Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.5 Conceded
8 Points
Atletico Nacional
D L W W
13.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Atletico Nacional 0:0 Sao Paulo
28.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Atletico Nacional 0:1 Club NacionalClub Nacional
14.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Atletico Nacional 1:0 BahiaBahia
09.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Atletico Nacional 3:1 InternacionalInternacional
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySao Paulo - Atletico Nacional

Sao Paulo
1 matches total
Atletico Nacional
Sao Paulo: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Atletico Nacional: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (13.08 00:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

13.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sao Paulo
0:0
Atletico Nacional