CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sao Paulo - LDU de Quito
Sao Paulo meet LDU de Quito on September 25, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Sao Paulo 1-2-1, LDU de Quito 3-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Sao Paulo the favourite at about 69%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sao Paulo - LDU de Quito September 25, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sao Paulo.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / X 4.43 / 2 10.16
- 1X2 market: Sao Paulo 69.3% / X 21.3% / LDU de Quito 9.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 7 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SStats Consensus). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Sao Paulo - LDU de Quito
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.35 74.1% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | |
| X | 4.35 23.0% | 4.46 22.4% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.44 22.5% | 4.44 22.5% |
| 9.00 11.1% | 10.30 9.7% | 9.00 11.1% | 10.25 9.8% | 11.52 8.7% | 11.52 8.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.45 69.0% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% |
| yes | 2.72 36.8% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.64 37.9% | 2.50 40.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.06 32.7% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.08 32.5% | 3.22 31.1% | 3.22 31.1% | 3.10 32.3% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.06 94.3% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.19 84.0% |
| Over 1.5 | — | 1.33 75.2% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.43 69.9% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 2.25 | 1.98 50.5% | 1.86 53.8% |
| Over 2.5 | — | 2.17 46.1% |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.47 40.5% |
| Over 3.0 | — | 3.08 32.5% |
| Over 3.25 | — | 3.46 28.9% |
| Over 3.5 | — | 3.72 26.9% |
| Over 3.75 | — | 4.75 21.1% |
| Over 4.0 | — | 6.70 14.9% |
| Over 4.25 | — | 7.10 14.1% |
| Under 2.25 | 1.91 52.4% | — |
Sao Paulo
LDU de Quito
Libertad Asuncion
LDU de Quito
Botafogo
Flamengo
Full head-to-head historySao Paulo - LDU de Quito
Overall statistics
Match history
LDU de Quito
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form