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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
13.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Universidad Catolica - Juventud

World Football
Universidad Catolica
Universidad Catolica
3 : 4
Finished
Juventud
Juventud

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Universidad Catolica - Juventud February 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Universidad Catolica.

Line favourite market consensus: Universidad Catolica. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.43 / X 4.42 / 2 6.39
  • 1X2 market: Universidad Catolica 64.6% / X 20.9% / Juventud 14.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 64.6%
X 20.9%
2 14.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 53.8%
Under 2.5 46.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Universidad Catolica - Juventud

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.39 market consensus · line only
X 4.45 market consensus · line only
1 1.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.66 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.69 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.70 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.44 69.4%
X 4.79 20.9%
6.51 15.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.47 68.0%
X 4.30 23.3% 4.25 23.5% 4.71 21.2% 4.00 25.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.40 22.7%
6.80 14.7% 6.60 15.2% 5.95 16.8% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 6.10 16.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.65 37.7% 2.59 38.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.72 36.8% 2.88 34.7%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Universidad Catolica
W
06.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Universidad Catolica 1:0 Juventud
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Juventud
L
06.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Juventud 0:1 Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUniversidad Catolica - Juventud

Universidad Catolica
1 matches total
Juventud
Universidad Catolica: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Juventud: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Universidad Catolica 1:0 (06.02 00:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 06.02 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

06.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Universidad Catolica
1:0
Juventud