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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
15.08.2025 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Universitario - Palmeiras

World Football
Universitario
Universitario
0 : 4
Finished
Palmeiras
Palmeiras

Universitario face Palmeiras on August 15, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Universitario 1-2-0, Palmeiras 3-0-0. The bookmaker line makes Palmeiras the favourite at about 47%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Universitario - Palmeiras August 15, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Palmeiras.

Line favourite Fonbet: Palmeiras. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.90 / X 2.80 / 2 2.05
  • 1X2 market: Universitario 19.5% / X 34.0% / Palmeiras 46.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 71.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4% 18 books · best price +3.7%
1 19.5%
X 34.1%
2 46.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 29.0%
Under 2.5 71.0%

Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.08.2025 00:30 UTC
Market 1 19.5% @ 4.90 / X 34.0% @ 2.80 / 2 46.5% @ 2.05
Match center

Universitario - Palmeiras

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.05 Fonbet · line only
X 2.80 Fonbet · line only
1 4.90 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 Fonbet · line only
12 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.37 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
5.25 19.1% 4.35 23.0% 5.11 19.6% 4.60 21.7% 5.25 19.1% 5.00 20.0%
X 2.76 36.2% 3.10 32.3% 2.82 35.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.85 35.1%
1.97 50.8% 1.90 52.6% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.36 73.5% 1.48 67.6% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6%
yes 2.88 34.7% 2.59 38.6% 3.02 33.1% 2.90 34.5% 3.25 30.8% 2.92 34.3% 2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6% 1.18 84.8%
home_away 1.38 72.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0%
home_draw 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.20 83.3% 1.15 87.0%
Over 0.75 1.21 82.6%
Over 1.0 1.30 76.9%
Over 1.25 1.59 62.9%
Over 1.5 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8%
Over 1.75 1.84 54.4% 2.19 45.7%
Over 2.5 3.75 26.7%
Over 3.5 8.50 11.8%
Over 4.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 0.5 4.33 23.1%
Under 1.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 1.75 2.04 49.0%
Under 2.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 3.5 1.06 94.3%
Under 4.5 1.03 97.1%
Match center
Universitario
D W D
28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Universitario 1:1 River Plate
15.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Universitario 1:0 Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
09.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Universitario 1:1 Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.7 Conceded
5 Points
Palmeiras
W W W
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 6:0 Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
15.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 2:0 BolívarBolívar
08.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Palmeiras 2:0 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.3 Scored
0.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUniversitario - Palmeiras

Universitario
0 matches total
Palmeiras
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history