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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
19.08.2025 22:00 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Velez Sarsfield - Fortaleza EC

World Football
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
2 : 0
Finished
Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC

Velez Sarsfield face Fortaleza EC on August 19, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Velez Sarsfield 1-3-0, Fortaleza EC 1-2-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Velez Sarsfield the favourite at about 52%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Velez Sarsfield - Fortaleza EC August 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Velez Sarsfield.

Line favourite Fonbet: Velez Sarsfield. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.83 / X 3.30 / 2 4.90
  • 1X2 market: Velez Sarsfield 51.9% / X 28.8% / Fortaleza EC 19.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4% 18 books · best price +5.6%
1 50.3%
X 29.4%
2 20.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 38.8%
Under 2.5 61.3%

Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.08.2025 22:00 UTC
Market 1 51.9% @ 1.83 / X 28.8% @ 3.30 / 2 19.4% @ 4.90
Match center

Velez Sarsfield - Fortaleza EC

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.90 Fonbet · line only
X 3.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.97 Fonbet · line only
12 1.33 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.43 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 4.38 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.32 30.1% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
4.50 22.2% 4.15 24.1% 4.76 21.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 4.90 20.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.47 40.5% 2.29 43.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.10 90.9% 1.06 94.3%
Over 0.75 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.0 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.25 1.32 75.8%
Over 1.5 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1%
Over 1.75 1.66 60.2%
Over 2.0 2.08 48.1%
Over 2.5 2.62 38.2%
Over 3.5 5.25 19.1%
Over 4.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 0.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 1.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 2.0 1.80 55.6%
Under 2.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 3.5 1.15 87.0%
Under 4.5 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Velez Sarsfield
D D W D
12.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Velez Sarsfield 0:0 Fortaleza EC
29.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Velez Sarsfield 0:0 PenarolPenarol
14.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Velez Sarsfield 3:0 San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
08.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Velez Sarsfield 1:1 OlimpiaOlimpia
1 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
6 Points
Fortaleza EC
D L D W
12.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fortaleza EC 0:0 Velez Sarsfield
30.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fortaleza EC 0:1 Racing Club
14.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fortaleza EC 0:0 Bucaramanga
07.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fortaleza EC 4:0 Colo Colo
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVelez Sarsfield - Fortaleza EC

Velez Sarsfield
1 matches total
Fortaleza EC
Velez Sarsfield: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Fortaleza EC: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (12.08 22:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

12.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Velez Sarsfield
0:0
Fortaleza EC