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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
16.09.2025 22:00 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Velez Sarsfield - Racing Club

World Football
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
0 : 1
Finished
Racing Club
Racing Club

Velez Sarsfield meet Racing Club on September 16, 2025 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Velez Sarsfield 2-2-0, Racing Club 4-0-0. The market favourite is Velez Sarsfield at roughly 36%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Velez Sarsfield - Racing Club September 16, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Velez Sarsfield.

Line favourite market consensus: Velez Sarsfield. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.63 / X 2.91 / 2 2.96
  • 1X2 market: Velez Sarsfield 35.9% / X 32.4% / Racing Club 31.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0% 14 books · best price +4.2%
1 35.9%
X 32.2%
2 31.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 34.9%
Under 2.5 65.1%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.09.2025 22:00 UTC
Market 1 35.8% @ 2.63 / X 32.4% @ 2.91 / 2 31.8% @ 2.96
Match center

Velez Sarsfield - Racing Club

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.96 market consensus · line only
X 2.91 market consensus · line only
1 2.63 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.46 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.96 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.91 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.72 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.13 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.64 37.9% 2.58 38.8% 2.64 37.9% 2.62 38.2% 2.75 36.4% 2.60 38.5%
X 2.90 34.5% 2.88 34.7% 3.08 32.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5%
2.98 33.6% 2.90 34.5% 2.96 33.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8% 2.88 34.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.64 61.0% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.76 56.8% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.14 46.7% 2.19 45.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Dafabet Marathonbet
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.46 68.5% 1.49 67.1%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.41 70.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.12 89.3% 1.05 95.2%
Over 0.75 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.0 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.25 1.33 75.2%
Over 1.5 1.55 64.5% 1.58 63.3%
Over 1.75 1.68 59.5%
Over 2.0 2.13 47.0%
Over 2.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 3.5 5.25 19.1%
Over 4.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 0.5 6.00 16.7%
Under 1.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 2.0 1.76 56.8%
Under 2.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 3.5 1.15 87.0%
Under 4.5 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Velez Sarsfield
W D W D
19.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Velez Sarsfield 2:0 Fortaleza EC
29.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Velez Sarsfield 0:0 PenarolPenarol
14.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Velez Sarsfield 3:0 San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
08.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Velez Sarsfield 1:1 OlimpiaOlimpia
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.3 Conceded
8 Points
Racing Club
W W W W
20.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club 3:1 PenarolPenarol
30.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club 1:0 Fortaleza EC
15.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club 4:0 Colo Colo
06.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Racing Club 4:0 Bucaramanga
4 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
12 Points