Match center
Start
28.07.2026 22:15 UTC
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28.07.2026 22:15 UTC
Finished
Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
A
Argentinos Juniors
1
:
1
Finished
E
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Argentinos Juniors — 66%
Pure model vs market (1 · Argentinos Juniors): model 43% · market 67% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Argentinos Juniors 65.9%, draw 23.0%, win Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11.2%. Model favourite — Argentinos Juniors.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Argentinos Juniors (odds1.85)
Score 1:0
Under 2.5
(odds1.52) ✗
Handicap H1 +0
(odds1.32)
confidence 50%
✗ outcome missed
- • liniya na pik P1 5.00→1.85 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
- • Model backs Argentinos Khuniors: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
- • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:0
- • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
- • at line 2.5 (odds 1.52)
- • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 1:0 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.32).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes Rio Cuarto July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Argentinos Juniors.
Strongest: Argentinos Juniors - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.40 / X 4.08 / 2 9.64
- 1X2 market: Argentinos Juniors 67.1% / X 23.1% / Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 9.8%
- Glicko: Argentinos Juniors 65.9% / X 23.0% / Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.3%
1 ✓ Pick
67.2%
X
23.1%
2
9.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
5.00
↑ 11.50
1X2 X
2.65
↓ 1.20
1X2 2
1.95
↑ 5.70
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Argentinos Juniors
1
:
0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
11.38
X4.27
210.40
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Argentinos Juniors 66%
💹 Market
Argentinos Juniors 6709%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 64.9% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.022 / LogLoss 1.454
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 64.9% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.022 / LogLoss 1.454
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Argentinos Juniors
67.3%
65.9%
market and model agree
Draw
23.0%
23.0%
draw risk
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
9.7%
11.2%
1X2: 16 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
65.9% / 23.0% / 11.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,578 / 1,603
Argentinos Juniors / Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
RD
286 / 277
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,007-2,150 / 1,049-2,157
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.37
market consensus · no value · model 11.2%
X
4.09
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.40
market consensus · no value · model 65.9%
Double chance
12
1.20
market consensus · no value · model 77.0%
1X
1.03
market consensus · no value · model 88.8%
X2
2.95
market consensus · no value · model 34.1%
Handicap
2 +1
2.09
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.68
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.39
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.56
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.41
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.76
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.41 70.9% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | |
| X | 3.80 26.3% | 4.12 24.3% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.10 24.4% |
| 10.25 9.8% | 9.55 10.5% | 11.00 9.1% | 10.75 9.3% | 9.00 11.1% | 10.00 10.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.41 70.9% |
| yes | 2.76 36.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.21 82.6% |
| 1x | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 3.00 33.3% | 2.90 34.5% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_2 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 1_0 | 3.90 25.6% |
| 1_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 1_3 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 2_0 | 4.50 22.2% |
| 2_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 2_3 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 3_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 3_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 3_2 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 3_3 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 4_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 4_1 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 4_2 | 67.00 1.5% |
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-1-0, avg 0.0 gls
2026-01-30 · Arkhentinos Khuniors 0:0 Estudiantes Rio Kuarto
Source: ruscore
Odds · 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 1.4 (Pari) · X 4.2 (Liga Stavok) · 2 12 (Betcity)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.4 | 4.05 | 9.5 |
| Winline | 1.36 | 4.1 | 11 |
| Fonbet | 1.4 | 4.05 | 9.5 |
| Betcity | 1.37 | 4 | 12 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.34 | 4.2 | 12 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Argentinos Juniors
W
Argentinos Juniors
3:2
Sarmento Zhunin
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
W
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1:0
Tigre
Tigre
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyArgentinos Juniors - Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Argentinos Juniors
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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