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Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Clausura. 2-y Round 29.07.2026 20:15 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 20:15 UTC Clausura. 2-y Round
Finished

Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate

Football
G
Gimnasia La Plata
1 : 0
Finished
River Plate
River Plate
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 River Plate — 47%

Pure model vs market (2 · River Plate): model 51% · market 46% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Gimnasia La Plata23.0%
X · draw30.2%
2 · River Plate46.8%

Model estimate: win Gimnasia La Plata 23.0%, draw 30.2%, win River Plate 46.8%. Model favourite — River Plate.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2River Plate (odds1.61) Score 0:2 confidence 62% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs River Pleyt: probability 62% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.61)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 0:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like River Plate.

Strongest: River Plate - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.04 / X 3.02 / 2 2.03
  • 1X2 market: Gimnasia La Plata 23.2% / X 30.9% / River Plate 45.9%
  • Glicko: Gimnasia La Plata 23.0% / X 30.2% / River Plate 46.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 23.1%
X 30.9%
2 46.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 4.30 ↓ 1.09
1X2 X 2.65 ↑ 6.60
1X2 2 2.20 ↑ 93.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Gimnasia La Plata 1 : 1 River Plate
14.28
X3.12
22.01

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated28.07.2026 21:21 UTC
1 22%
X 32%
2 46% ✓ favourite
Score0:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:X2 and Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-2
Claude updated28.07.2026 21:34 UTC
1 27%
X 33%
2 40% ✓ favourite
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5
Qwen updated28.07.2026 21:30 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
X 15%
2 7%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated28.07.2026 21:40 UTC
1 25%
X 31%
2 44% ✓ favourite
Score... Total goals: ... BTTS:... Bet:...
Per AI data Form:... / ... H2H: ... Injuries:... Key:...
GLM 5.2 updated28.07.2026 21:41 UTC
1 25%
X 30%
2 45% ✓ favourite
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 2-1

AI consensus:2

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 22% 32% 46% 0:1 Under 2.5 No X2 and Under 2.5
Claude 27% 33% 40% 1:1 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5
Qwen 78% 15% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 No Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Kimi 25% 31% 44% ... ... ... ...
GLM 5.2 25% 30% 45% 1:1 Under 2.5 Yes 1X

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 20:15 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models River Plate 36%
📐 Math model River Plate 47%
💹 Market River Plate 4591%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate

Football, Khimnasiya and Esgrima LP - River Pleyt, 30 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Khimnasiya and Esgrima LP - River Pleyt, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Argentina po futbolu (Primera) 2026, Clausura. 2 round.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gimnasia La Plata 22.6% 23.0%
Draw 30.9% 30.2% draw risk
River Plate 46.6% 46.8% market and model agree
1X2: 15 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 23.0% / 30.2% / 46.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,285 / 1,605 Gimnasia La Plata / River Plate
RD 276 / 145 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 733-1,837 / 1,315-1,895 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.02 market consensus · no value · model 46.8%
X 6.60 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 23.0%
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 69.8%
1X 1.22 Fonbet · no value · model 53.2%
X2 8.50 Fonbet · weak value +554.8% · model 77.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.48 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.78 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
3.70 27.0% 4.22 23.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.25 23.5% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.06 32.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.13 32.0%
2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.12 89.3% 1.64 61.0%
yes 5.20 19.2% 2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.77 56.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.22 82.0%
x2 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 8.50 11.8%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 6.50 15.4%
0_1 5.00 20.0%
0_2 7.50 13.3%
0_3 17.00 5.9%
0_4 41.00 2.4%
0_5 101.00 1.0%
1_0 7.00 14.3%
1_1 5.25 19.1%
1_2 7.50 13.3%
1_3 15.00 6.7%
1_4 41.00 2.4%
1_5 101.00 1.0%
2_0 15.00 6.7%
2_1 10.00 10.0%
2_2 15.00 6.7%
2_3 29.00 3.5%
2_4 67.00 1.5%
3_0 41.00 2.4%
Match center
Lineup summary
  • 23 vr Nelson Insfran
  • 31 zsch Bautista Barros
  • 4 zsch Rentso Dzhampoli
  • 21 zsch Entso Martines Suares
  • 24 zsch Pedro Torrekhon
  • 25 zsch Aleksis Shtaymbakh
  • 5 pz Ignasio Miramon
  • 8 pz Nacho Fernandes
  • 18 np Mateo Seoane
  • 11 np Kheremias Merlo
Gimnasia La Plata

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

River Plate

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

SStats Market - Form - H2H - Bookmakers
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-1-4, avg 2.17 gls
2026-05-14 · Khimnasiya i Esgrima La Plata 0:2 River Pleyt
2026-01-28 · Khimnasiya i Esgrima La Plata 0:2 River Pleyt
2025-11-02 · Khimnasiya i Esgrima La Plata 1:0 River Pleyt
2025-04-18 · Khimnasiya i Esgrima La Plata 0:3 River Pleyt
2024-08-17 · Khimnasiya i Esgrima La Plata 1:1 River Pleyt
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.95 (Pari) · X 3.1 (Liga Stavok) · 2 2.1 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 3.95 3.05 2.05
Winline 3.85 3.05 2.07
Fonbet 3.95 3.05 2.05
Betcity 3.9 3 2.1
Liga Stavok 3.95 3.1 2.03
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Gimnasia La Plata
L
24.07 20:00 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Gimnasia La Plata 1:2 RasingRasing
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
River Plate
W
25.07 20:15 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
River Plate 4:0 Barrakas SentralBarrakas Sentral
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Gimnasia La Plata
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 River Plate
Gimnasia La Plata Team comparison River Plate
19 Games 21
9 Wins 12
2 Draws 2
8 Losses 7
21 Scored 29
23 Conceded 18
29 Points 38
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
9.75 Shots on goal 15
3.53 Udary v stvor 4.81
19 Games 21
9 Wins 12
2 Draws 2
8 Losses 7
21 Scored 29
23 Conceded 18

Khimnasiya and Esgrima LP River Pleyt 19 Games 21 9 Wins 12 2 Draws 2 8 Losses 7 21 Scored 29 23 Conceded 18 29 Points 38 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 9.75 Shots on goal 15 3.53 Udary v stvor 4.81 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.95 Uglovye 5.48 1.79 Offsaydy 1.48 11.37 Foly 11.62 45.84 % vladeniya myachom 65.1 3.16 Warnings 2.43 0.16 Sendoffs 0.14