Match center
Start
28.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
28.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished
Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Real Cartagena - America de Cali
2
:
3
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 America de Cali — 53%
Model estimate: win Real Cartagena 28.0%, draw 18.7%, win America de Cali 53.3%. Model favourite — America de Cali.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2America de Cali (odds1.48)
Score 0:1
Under 3.5
(odds1.72) ✗
Handicap H1 +1.5
(odds1.60) ✓
confidence 50%
✓ outcome correct
- • Model backs Amerika De Kali: probability 50% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.48)
- • no edge over the line (-18 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:1
- • Total: Under 3.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
- • at line 3.5 (odds 1.72)
- • Handicap F1 +1.5: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.60).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Cartagena - America de Cali July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Real Cartagena 28.0% / X 18.7% / America de Cali 53.3%
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
5.40
↑ 33.00
1X2 X
4.40
↑ 9.50
1X2 2
1.48
↓ 1.02
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Real Cartagena
2
:
1
America de Cali
11.77
X3.78
24.22
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Real Cartagena - America de Cali
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
H2H
Line
Movement
More needed
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:3
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 53.3% fact: away
hit / ROI 2.0% / Brier 0.331 / LogLoss 0.629
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 53.3% fact: away
hit / ROI 2.0% / Brier 0.331 / LogLoss 0.629
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Real Cartagena
2.7%
28.0%
Draw
9.4%
18.7%
draw risk
America de Cali
87.9%
53.3%
market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
28.0% / 18.7% / 53.3%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,512 / 1,748
Real Cartagena / America de Cali
RD
216 / 242
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,081-1,944 / 1,263-2,232
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.02
Fonbet · no value · model 53.3%
X
9.50
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Double chance
12
1.03
Fonbet · no value · model 81.3%
X2
1.05
Fonbet · no value · model 72.0%
Handicap
2 0
1.07
Fonbet · line only
1 0
6.30
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.05
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
7.40
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
4.70
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.14
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 4.70 21.3% |
| yes | 1.14 87.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.03 97.1% |
| 1x | 10.50 9.5% |
| x2 | 1.05 95.2% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.09 91.7% | |
| 1.17 85.5% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 11.50 8.7% | |
| 6.30 15.9% | |
| 5.60 17.9% | |
| 4.20 23.8% | |
| 10.50 9.5% | |
| 7.40 13.5% | |
| 9.00 11.1% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.07 93.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.05 95.2% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 4.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 5.5 | 4.50 22.2% |
| Over 6.5 | 4.80 20.8% |
| Over 7.5 | 10.50 9.5% |
| Over 8.5 | 11.00 9.1% |
| Under 0.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 6.80 14.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 7.40 13.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 5.70 17.5% |
| Under 4.5 | 3.05 32.8% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.15 87.0% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.13 88.5% |
| Under 7.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
| Under 8.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
Match center
Real Cartagena
L
Real Cartagena
1:2
Amerika De Kali
Amerika De Kali
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
America de Cali
W
America de Cali
2:1
Real Kartakhena
Real Kartakhena
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyReal Cartagena - America de Cali
Real Cartagena
1
matches total
Real Cartagena: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
America de Cali: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Amerika De Kali 1:2 (21.07 22:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (1:2, 21.07 22:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Real Kartakhena
1:2
Amerika De Kali
Unlock the full match prediction
The Real Cartagena - America de Cali breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form