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Costa Rica. 2nd Division
Costa Rica. 2nd Division
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Costa Rica. 2nd Division

Quepos Cambute - Santa Cruz FC

Football
Q
Quepos Cambute
4 : 0
Finished
Santa Cruz FC
Santa Cruz FC

Quepos Cambute take on Santa Cruz FC on August 2, 2026 in the Costa Rica. 2nd Division.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Quepos Cambute — 50%

1 · Quepos Cambute49.7%
X · draw20.1%
2 · Santa Cruz FC30.1%

Model estimate: win Quepos Cambute 49.7%, draw 20.1%, win Santa Cruz FC 30.1%. Model favourite — Quepos Cambute.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Quepos Cambute (odds1.64) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Quepos FC: probability 50% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.64)
  • • no edge over the line (-11 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Quepos Cambute - Santa Cruz FC August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Quepos Cambute.

Line favourite market consensus: Quepos Cambute. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.20 / 2 4.63
  • Glicko: Quepos Cambute 49.7% / X 20.1% / Santa Cruz FC 30.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 52.0%
X 28.4%
2 19.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga de Ascenso
League table
Quepos Cambute
#13 ptsGP 11-0-04:0
Santa Cruz FC
#90 ptsGP 10-0-10:4
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Quepos Cambute
W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 2.20 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.64 xGA 1.34
Santa Cruz FC
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.28 xGA 1.54

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Quepos Cambute
Rating 1610
Santa Cruz FC
Rating 1509

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Quepos Cambute 3 : 1 Santa Cruz FC
11.72
X3.14
24.96

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 52.0% @ 1.75 / X 28.4% @ 3.20 / 2 19.6% @ 4.63
Match center

Quepos Cambute - Santa Cruz FC

Form 0/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 4:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 49.7% fact: home hit / ROI 75.0% / Brier 0.384 / LogLoss 0.699
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 49.7% fact: home hit / ROI 75.0% / Brier 0.384 / LogLoss 0.699
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Quepos Cambute 52.0% 49.7% market and model agree
Draw 28.4% 20.1% draw risk
Santa Cruz FC 19.6% 30.1%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.7% / 20.1% / 30.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,543 Quepos FC / Deportes Santa Cruz
RD 350 / 154 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,234-1,851 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.63 market consensus · no value · model 30.1%
X 3.20 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.75 market consensus · no value · model 49.7%
Handicap
2 +1 1.55 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.01 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.01 49.8%
yes 1.71 58.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.36 42.4%
X 1.97 50.8%
5.60 17.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.83 54.6%
Under 1 1.87 53.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.25 44.4%
1.55 64.5%
Match center
Santa Cruz FC
W L L W W
25.07 19:30 UTC+0 Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings
Santa Cruz FC 2:1 Kobreloa
25.07 18:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Championship Brazil C - Pervyy etap Standings
Santa Cruz FC 0:1 FigeyrenseFigeyrense
11.07 17:00 UTC+0 Chile: Copa Chile Standings
Santa Cruz FC 2:3 PalestinoPalestino
05.07 18:00 UTC+0 Chile: Copa Chile Standings
Santa Cruz FC 2:1 Audaks ItalyanoAudaks Italyano
04.07 20:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Championship Brazil C - Pervyy etap Standings
Santa Cruz FC 1:0 ItuanoItuano
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points