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Costa Rica. Premier Division
Costa Rica. Premier Division
01.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

Costa Rica. Premier Division

Mixco - Suchitepéquez

Football
M
Mixco
2 : 0
Finished
S
Suchitepéquez

Mixco face Suchitepéquez on August 1, 2026 in the Costa Rica. Premier Division.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mixco 0-0-1, Suchitepéquez 0-1-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 56% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Mixco56%

Pure model vs market (1 · Mixco): model 32% · market 57% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Mixco55.5%
X · draw26.1%
2 · Suchitepéquez18.4%

Model estimate: win Mixco 55.5%, draw 26.1%, win Suchitepéquez 18.4%. Model favourite — Mixco.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Suchitepéquez (odds1.85) Score 1:2 confidence 54% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Suchitepekez: probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mixco - Suchitepéquez August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mixco.

Line favourite market consensus: Mixco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.61 / X 3.50 / 2 5.50
  • Glicko: Mixco 55.5% / X 26.1% / Suchitepéquez 18.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 57.1%
X 26.2%
2 16.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Nacional
League table
Mixco
#53 ptsGP 21-0-12:2
Suchitepéquez
#91 ptsGP 20-1-10:2
Best price across 11 books
1 1.57 Bet365
X 3.90 Betfair
2 6.57 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Mixco
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.26 Conceded 1.81 xG 1.21 xGA 1.24
Suchitepéquez
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 0.84 Conceded 0.69 xG 1.14 xGA 1.15

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Mixco 1 : 2 Suchitepéquez
11.54
X3.48
26.05

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 57.1% @ 1.61 / X 26.2% @ 3.50 / 2 16.7% @ 5.50
Match center

Mixco - Suchitepéquez

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 55.5% fact: home hit / ROI 61.0% / Brier 0.300 / LogLoss 0.588
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 55.5% fact: home hit / ROI 61.0% / Brier 0.300 / LogLoss 0.588
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mixco 57.1% 55.5% market and model agree
Draw 26.4% 26.1% draw risk
Suchitepéquez 16.6% 18.4%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 55.5% / 26.1% / 18.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,226 / 1,487 Deportivo Mixco / Suchitepequez
RD 267 / 262 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 691-1,760 / 964-2,011 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.43 market consensus · no value · model 18.4%
X 3.44 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.59 market consensus · no value · model 55.5%
Double chance
12 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 73.9%
1X 1.09 market consensus · no value · model 81.6%
X2 2.14 market consensus · no value · model 44.5%
Handicap
2 +1 1.65 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.07 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.61 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.18 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.61 62.1%
yes 2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4%
1x 1.06 94.3% 1.11 90.1%
x2 2.05 48.8% 2.23 44.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.18 45.9%
X 2.01 49.8%
6.50 15.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.10 47.6%
Under 1 1.65 60.6%
Match center
Mixco
L
25.07 00:00 UTC GVATEMALA: Natsionalnaya liga - Apertura Standings
Mixco 0:2 Munisipal
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Suchitepéquez
D
26.07 21:00 UTC GVATEMALA: Natsionalnaya liga - Apertura Standings
Suchitepéquez 0:0 KomunikasonesKomunikasones
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMixco - Suchitepéquez

Mixco
0 matches total
Suchitepéquez
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history