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Costa Rica. Premier Division
Costa Rica. Premier Division
03.08.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
03.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

Costa Rica. Premier Division

Inter San Carlos - Deportivo Saprissa

Football
I
Inter San Carlos
0 : 0
Finished
Deportivo Saprissa
Deportivo Saprissa

Inter San Carlos take on Deportivo Saprissa on August 3, 2026 in the Costa Rica. Premier Division.

Recent form (W-D-L): Inter San Carlos 0-0-1, Deportivo Saprissa 0-1-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 27% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Deportivo Saprissa — 46%

Pure model vs market (2 · Deportivo Saprissa): model 48% · market 67% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Inter San Carlos26.7%
X · draw27.7%
2 · Deportivo Saprissa45.7%

Model estimate: win Inter San Carlos 26.7%, draw 27.7%, win Deportivo Saprissa 45.7%. Model favourite — Deportivo Saprissa.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Deportivo Saprissa (odds2.22) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Erediano: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.22)
  • • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter San Carlos - Deportivo Saprissa August 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportivo Saprissa.

Line favourite Fonbet: Deportivo Saprissa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.60 / X 4.30 / 2 1.37
  • Glicko: Inter San Carlos 26.7% / X 27.7% / Deportivo Saprissa 45.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 12.0%
X 21.3%
2 66.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Inter San Carlos 0 : 0 Deportivo Saprissa
13.45
X3.18
22.02

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
4 predictions Choose an outcome
1 0% 0
X 100% 1
2 0% 0
Both teams to score BTTS yes 1.84 (1)
handicap1 handicap1:0 2.46 (1)
Total TB 2.5 2.08 (1)
Match center
Start 03.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 12.0% @ 7.60 / X 21.3% @ 4.30 / 2 66.7% @ 1.37
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Draw 100%
📐 Math model Deportivo Saprissa 46%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Inter San Carlos - Deportivo Saprissa

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 1 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 45.7% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.803 / LogLoss 1.285
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 45.7% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.803 / LogLoss 1.285
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Inter San Carlos 26.4% 26.7%
Draw 28.0% 27.7% draw risk
Deportivo Saprissa 45.6% 45.7% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 26.7% / 27.7% / 45.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,342 / 1,634 Inter San Carlos / Deportivo Saprissa
RD 291 / 236 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 760-1,925 / 1,162-2,106 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.37 Fonbet · no value · model 45.7%
X 4.30 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 7.60 Fonbet · no value · model 26.7%
Double chance
12 1.18 Fonbet · no value · model 72.3%
1X 2.75 Fonbet · value +49.4% · model 54.3%
X2 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 73.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 3.64 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.45 40.8% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5% 1.18 84.8%
1x 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 2.75 36.4%
x2 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4% 1.07 93.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.04 24.8%
X 2.01 49.8%
2.82 35.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.44 69.4%
Under 0.5 2.48 40.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-0, avg 0.0 gls
2026-07-31 · Erediano 0:0 Marafon
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.9 (Fonbet) · X 3.5 (Pari) · 2 5.3 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.6 3.5 4.9
Winline 1.68 3.45 4.7
Fonbet 1.9 3.15 3.75
Betcity 1.65 3.5 5.3
Liga Stavok 1.7 3.45 4.7
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Inter San Carlos
L
25.07 21:00 UTC Costa Rica: Vysshiy Division - Apertura Standings
Inter San Carlos 1:3 Kartakhines
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Deportivo Saprissa
D
24.07 00:00 UTC Costa Rica: Vysshiy Division - Apertura Standings
Deportivo Saprissa 1:1 PuntarenasPuntarenas
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points