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HNK Gorica — HNK Hajduk Split

Football 16.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Favourite HNK Hajduk Split best odds 1.84

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Croatia: Khnl
Croatia: Khnl
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
16.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

Croatia: Khnl

HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split — Football prediction

Football
HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica
1 : 2
Finished
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Gorica take on HNK Hajduk Split on August 16, 2026 in the Croatia: Khnl.

Recent form (W-D-L): HNK Gorica 0-0-1, HNK Hajduk Split 0-1-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Double chance HNK Hajduk Split or draw 1.17

Model confidence 79% ~82% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2HNK Hajduk Split (odds1.83) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Khayduk: probability 50% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.83)
  • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction HNK Gorica - HNK Hajduk Split August 16, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: HNK Hajduk Split. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.54 / X 3.79 / 2 1.84

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8% 5 books · best price +5.8%
1 22.2%
X 26.4%
2 51.4%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

HNL
League table
HNK Gorica
#80 ptsGP 30-0-32:7
HNK Hajduk Split
#64 ptsGP 31-1-15:5
Best price across 13 books
1 4.70 Dafabet
X 3.94 Pinnacle
2 1.75 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
HNK Gorica
W-D-L 3-0-7 Scored 0.69 Conceded 1.47 xG 1.19 xGA 1.39 Corners 4.2
HNK Hajduk Split
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.60 Conceded 1.44 xG 1.82 xGA 1.04 Corners 3.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
HNK Gorica
Rating 1355 xG 0.85 Win 20%
HNK Hajduk Split
Rating 1515 xG 1.58 Win 55%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
HNK Gorica
22%
4.54
Draw
26%
3.79
HNK Hajduk Split
52%
1.84
Handicap
HNK Gorica (0)
31%
3.00
HNK Hajduk Split (0)
69%
1.35
Total
Over 2.5
50%
1.87
Under 2.5
50%
1.93
Both teams to score
Yes
52%
1.78
No
48%
1.97

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

HNK Gorica 1 : 2 HNK Hajduk Split
14.43
X3.80
21.71

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 16.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 21.4% @ 4.54 / X 25.7% @ 3.79 / 2 52.9% @ 1.84
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Match center

HNK Gorica - HNK Hajduk Split

Form 1/2 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.6% fact: away hit / ROI 84.0% / Brier 0.366 / LogLoss 0.681
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.6% fact: away hit / ROI 84.0% / Brier 0.366 / LogLoss 0.681
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.77 market consensus · line only
X 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 4.13 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.67 market consensus · line only
X2 1.17 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.27 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.35 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.97 50.8%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4% 1.49 67.1% 1.49 67.1%
1x 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0%
x2 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.79 20.9%
X 2.31 43.3%
2.28 43.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.67 59.9%
Under 1 2.07 48.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-1-7, avg 2.5 gls
2026-08-16 · Goritsa 1:2 Khayduk Split
2026-04-12 · Goritsa 0:1 Khayduk Split
2026-01-31 · Goritsa 1:0 Khayduk Split
2025-10-24 · Goritsa 1:3 Khayduk Split
2025-08-10 · Goritsa 0:2 Khayduk Split
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 4.15 (Pari) · X 3.6 (Pari) · 2 1.84 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 4.15 3.6 1.82
Winline 4 3.4 1.79
Fonbet 4.15 3.6 1.82
Betcity 4.1 3.6 1.84
Liga Stavok 4 3.45 1.81
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

1 Cards total 3
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
5 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
HNK Gorica
L
01.08 19:00 UTC Croatia: KhNL Standings
HNK Gorica 0:2 OsiekOsiek
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
HNK Hajduk Split
D L
09.08 19:00 UTC Croatia: KhNL Standings
HNK Hajduk Split 2:2 Istra 1961Istra 1961
01.08 16:30 UTC Croatia: KhNL Standings
HNK Hajduk Split 1:2 VarazhdinVarazhdin
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to HNK Hajduk Split. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Live odds for HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split start?

August 16, 2026.