Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
15.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Arsenal Tula - FK Sokol Saratov

Russia Football
Arsenal Tula
Arsenal Tula
1 : 0
Finished
FK Sokol Saratov
FK Sokol Saratov

Arsenal Tula go head-to-head with FK Sokol Saratov on October 15, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Arsenal Tula 1-1-0, FK Sokol Saratov 2-0-1. The bookmaker line makes Arsenal Tula the favourite at about 52%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal Tula - FK Sokol Saratov October 15, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal Tula.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal Tula. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.35 / 2 4.59
  • 1X2 market: Arsenal Tula 52.4% / X 27.5% / FK Sokol Saratov 20.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 52.5%
X 27.4%
2 20.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 41.2%
Under 2.5 58.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 15.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Market 1 52.5% @ 1.75 / X 27.4% @ 3.35 / 2 20.0% @ 4.59
Match center

Arsenal Tula - FK Sokol Saratov

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.61 market consensus · line only
X 3.36 market consensus · line only
1 1.75 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.01 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.15 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.63 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.28 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.72 58.1%
X 3.40 29.4%
4.75 21.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
1.84 54.4% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1%
X 3.62 27.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.34 29.9% 2.98 33.6% 3.40 29.4%
5.00 20.0% 4.75 21.1% 4.26 23.5% 4.17 24.0% 4.75 21.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet
no 1.66 60.2% 1.63 61.4%
yes 2.07 48.3% 2.09 47.9%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.08 48.1% 1.98 50.5% 1.99 50.3% 1.98 50.5%
home_away 1.34 74.6% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.21 82.6% 1.14 87.7% 1.09 91.7% 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Arsenal Tula
W D
25.09 17:00 UTC Cup
Arsenal Tula 3:0 Volna Nizhegorodskaya
26.09 15:00 UTC Cup
Arsenal Tula 1:1 Znamya TrudaZnamya Truda
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
FK Sokol Saratov
W L W
23.09 16:30 UTC Cup
FK Sokol Saratov 2:0 Broke Boys
15.10 16:30 UTC Cup
FK Sokol Saratov 1:3 UralUral
25.09 15:30 UTC Cup
FK Sokol Saratov 3:2 OrelOrel
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.7 Conceded
6 Points