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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
24.09.2025 11:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Astrakhan - Chernomorets

Russia Football
Astrakhan
Astrakhan
0 : 2
Finished
Chernomorets
Chernomorets

Astrakhan take on Chernomorets on September 24, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Astrakhan 2-0-1, Chernomorets 0-1-0. The bookmaker line makes Chernomorets the favourite at about 61%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Astrakhan - Chernomorets September 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chernomorets.

Line favourite market consensus: Chernomorets. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.62 / X 4.02 / 2 1.52
  • 1X2 market: Astrakhan 16.5% / X 23.0% / Chernomorets 60.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1% 5 books · best price +4.6%
1 15.8%
X 22.7%
2 61.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.7%
Over 2.5 49.1%
Under 2.5 50.9%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (1xBet, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SStats Consensus, Superbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.09.2025 11:00 UTC
Market 1 16.4% @ 5.62 / X 22.9% @ 4.02 / 2 60.7% @ 1.52
Match center

Astrakhan - Chernomorets

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.52 market consensus · line only
X 4.03 market consensus · line only
1 5.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 2.39 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.88 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.80 17.2%
X 4.05 24.7%
1.49 67.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus Superbet
6.19 16.2% 5.80 17.2% 5.12 19.5% 5.80 17.2% 5.20 19.2%
X 4.32 23.2% 4.05 24.7% 3.68 27.2% 4.05 24.7% 4.00 25.0%
1.59 62.9% 1.49 67.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.49 67.1% 1.52 65.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Superbet
no 1.78 56.2% 1.76 56.8% 1.72 58.1%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 1.14 87.7% 1.09 91.7% 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9%
home_away 1.26 79.4% 1.19 84.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 2.52 39.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4%
Match center
Astrakhan
W W L
09.09 12:30 UTC Cup
Astrakhan 5:2 Legion Dynamo
20.08 13:00 UTC Cup
Astrakhan 1:0 PobedaPobeda
04.09 15:00 UTC Cup
Astrakhan 1:2 Volgar AstrakhanVolgar Astrakhan
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points
Chernomorets
D
24.09 14:00 UTC Cup
Chernomorets 3:3 AmkarAmkar
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAstrakhan - Chernomorets

Astrakhan
0 matches total
Chernomorets
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history