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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
24.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Cherepovets - Shinnik Yaroslavl

Russia Football
Cherepovets
Cherepovets
1 : 4
Finished
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl

Cherepovets go head-to-head with Shinnik Yaroslavl on September 24, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Cherepovets 3-0-0, Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-2-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Shinnik Yaroslavl, an implied 55% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cherepovets - Shinnik Yaroslavl September 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shinnik Yaroslavl.

Line favourite market consensus: Shinnik Yaroslavl. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.00 / X 3.58 / 2 1.69
  • 1X2 market: Cherepovets 18.7% / X 26.1% / Shinnik Yaroslavl 55.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9% 4 books · best price +6.6%
1 18.6%
X 26.1%
2 55.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 48.7%
Under 2.5 51.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (1xBet, Marathonbet, SStats Consensus, Superbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Market 1 18.7% @ 5.00 / X 26.1% @ 3.58 / 2 55.2% @ 1.69
Match center

Cherepovets - Shinnik Yaroslavl

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.68 market consensus · line only
X 3.56 market consensus · line only
1 4.99 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.15 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 2.08 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.19 market consensus · line only
1 -1 8.80 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.61 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.95 20.2%
X 3.52 28.4%
1.66 60.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet SStats Consensus Superbet
5.28 18.9% 4.95 20.2% 4.95 20.2% 4.80 20.8%
X 3.76 26.6% 3.52 28.4% 3.52 28.4% 3.50 28.6%
1.77 56.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.66 60.2% 1.65 60.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Superbet
no 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3%
home_away 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 2.17 46.1% 2.06 48.5% 2.06 48.5% 2.02 49.5%
Match center
Cherepovets
W W W
10.09 14:00 UTC Cup
Cherepovets 4:2 Luki-EnergiyaLuki-Energiya
20.08 14:00 UTC Cup
Cherepovets 2:1 Zvezda St. PetersburgZvezda St. Petersburg
06.08 15:00 UTC Cup
Cherepovets 3:0 LeningradetsLeningradets
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Shinnik Yaroslavl
D W D
30.10 14:45 UTC Cup
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0:0 ChaykaChayka
15.10 14:00 UTC Cup
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1:0 FC UFAFC UFA
25.09 09:00 UTC Cup
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0:0 Dinamo Vladivostok
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.3 Scored
0.0 Conceded
5 Points