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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
16.10.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Chernomorets - Kuban Kholding

Russia Football
Chernomorets
Chernomorets
1 : 2
Finished
Kuban Kholding
Kuban Kholding

Chernomorets face Kuban Kholding on October 16, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): Chernomorets 1-1-0, Kuban Kholding 2-2-1. The market favourite is Chernomorets at roughly 64%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chernomorets - Kuban Kholding October 16, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chernomorets.

Line favourite market consensus: Chernomorets. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 4.40 / 2 6.38
  • 1X2 market: Chernomorets 64.2% / X 21.1% / Kuban Kholding 14.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 64.4%
X 21.1%
2 14.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 55.9%
Under 2.5 44.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.10.2025 17:00 UTC
Market 1 64.4% @ 1.44 / X 21.1% @ 4.40 / 2 14.5% @ 6.38
Match center

Chernomorets - Kuban Kholding

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.43 market consensus · line only
X 4.40 market consensus · line only
1 1.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.69 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.08 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.02 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.74 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.01 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.87 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.41 70.9%
X 4.40 22.7%
6.60 15.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet SStats Consensus
1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.41 70.9% 1.41 70.9%
X 4.10 24.4% 4.69 21.3% 4.40 22.7% 4.40 22.7%
5.30 18.9% 7.03 14.2% 6.60 15.2% 6.60 15.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet
no 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.87 53.5% 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.77 36.1% 2.65 37.7% 2.65 37.7%
home_away 1.23 81.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Chernomorets
W D
24.09 11:00 UTC Cup
Chernomorets 2:0 AstrakhanAstrakhan
24.09 14:00 UTC Cup
Chernomorets 3:3 AmkarAmkar
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
4 Points
Kuban Kholding
D W D L W
24.09 12:00 UTC Cup
Kuban Kholding 2:2 Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk
10.09 14:00 UTC Cup
Kuban Kholding 3:0 Mashuk-KMVMashuk-KMV
19.08 14:00 UTC Cup
Kuban Kholding 0:0 Nart CherkesskNart Cherkessk
24.09 11:00 UTC Cup
Kuban Kholding 0:5 FC SochiFC Sochi
03.09 14:00 UTC Cup
Kuban Kholding 1:0 Forte Taganrog
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points