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Cup
Cup Russia
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
30.07.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv

Russia Football
CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow
2 : 1
Finished
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv

CSKA Moscow take on Lokomotiv on July 30, 2025 in the Cup, Russia.

Recent form (W-D-L): CSKA Moscow 3-1-0, Lokomotiv 3-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards CSKA Moscow, an implied 49% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv July 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like CSKA Moscow.

Line favourite Fonbet: CSKA Moscow. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.00 / X 3.70 / 2 3.90
  • 1X2 market: CSKA Moscow 48.7% / X 26.3% / Lokomotiv 25.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4% 8 books · best price +3.5%
1 46.9%
X 27.8%
2 25.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: consensus of 8 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Fonbet, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SBO). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2025 15:30 UTC
Market 1 48.7% @ 2.00 / X 26.3% @ 3.70 / 2 25.0% @ 3.90
Match center

CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.90 Fonbet · line only
X 3.70 Fonbet · line only
1 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.80 Fonbet · line only
12 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.53 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.13 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.02 49.5%
X 3.45 29.0%
3.91 25.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO
1.99 50.3% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.48 28.7% 3.70 27.0% 3.46 28.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.01 33.2%
3.05 32.8% 3.92 25.5% 3.90 25.6% 3.74 26.7% 3.91 25.6% 3.04 32.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.11 47.4% 1.94 51.6% 2.13 47.0% 1.99 50.3% 1.92 52.1% 2.17 46.1%
yes 1.68 59.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.88 53.2% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.70 58.8% 1.82 55.0%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.21 82.6% 1.27 78.7%
Match center
CSKA Moscow
W D W W
14.05 16:30 UTC Cup
CSKA Moscow 2:0 ZenitZenit
16.04 17:30 UTC Cup
CSKA Moscow 0:0 DinamoDinamo
22.10 17:45 UTC Cup
CSKA Moscow 1:0 AkhmatAkhmat
01.10 17:45 UTC Cup
CSKA Moscow 2:0 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.0 Conceded
10 Points
Lokomotiv
L W W W
30.04 15:00 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 0:2 FC RostovFC Rostov
15.04 15:00 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 2:1 AkhmatAkhmat
01.10 15:30 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 2:1 FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
19.09 15:30 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 5:1 Khimki
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv

CSKA Moscow
0 matches total
Lokomotiv
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history